PAOK v KalamataGreek Super League · Mon 12 Oct, 17:00
Full time 1-3These were our chances before kick-off.
PAOK vs Kalamata: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser28'
Kenneth VargasPenalty
43'
Gonzalo PiñeiroYellow card
Half time1–1
60'
Dawid KurminowskiYellow card
62'
Antonis TsiftsisRed card
89'
Aritz ElustondoYellow card
Full time1–3
Key stats
Who will win PAOK vs Kalamata?
Greek Super League, Mon 12 Oct, 17:00 (UK time). Full time: PAOK 1-3 Kalamata.
Full time: PAOK 1-3 Kalamata. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects PAOK to score 2.48 goals and Kalamata 0.62. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | 2.30 |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | 1.77 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.68 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| PAOK v Kalamata | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 13.9% | 7.19 |
| 3–0 | 11.5% | 8.71 |
| 1–0 | 10.0% | 10.02 |
| 2–1 | 8.6% | 11.66 |
| 1–1 | 8.2% | 12.22 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| PAOK or draw | 94% | 1.06 |
| Kalamata or draw | 23% | 4.33 |
| PAOK or Kalamata (no draw) | 83% | 1.21 |
| PAOK, draw no bet | 93% | 1.08 |
| Kalamata, draw no bet | 7% | 13.82 |
League position
PAOK4of 14, 12 points from 5 games
Kalamata11of 14, 4 points from 5 games
In the table, PAOK are in position 4 of 14 with 12 points, and Kalamata in position 11 with 4.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How PAOK vs Kalamata played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
PAOK
Antonis TsiftsisGIoannis MichailidisCD-LDiego CostaCD-RBaba RahmanLBJonjoe KennyRBDimitris PelkasAMKristijan JakicLMChristos ZafeirisRMCherif NdiayeFTaisonAM-LDimitrios ChatsidisAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Andrija ZivkovicOn for Dimitrios Chatsidis
45'
Aritz ElustondoOn for Ioannis Michailidis
63'
Dimitrios MonastirlisOn for Dimitris Pelkas
73'
Junior BakayokoOn for Rodrigues
74'
Simon BanzaOn for Taison
74'
Ognjen UgresicOn for Kristijan Jakic
78'
Juan CataldiOn for Djibril Diarra
84'
Argyrios LiatsikourasOn for Ahmad Mendes Moreira
84'
Arnór SigurdssonOn for Erik Hamza
84'
Josete MirandaOn for Dawid Kurminowski
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 1 meeting since 2026
0PAOK
0Draws
1Kalamata
Last meetings
PAOKKalamata1312 Oct2026Full timeAssessed
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won PAOK vs Kalamata?
Kalamata won 3–1 away at PAOK (Greek Super League, Mon 12 Oct, 17:00 UK time).
When was PAOK vs Kalamata played?
Greek Super League, kick-off Mon 12 Oct, 17:00 UK time.
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