These were our chances before kick-off.
Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid?
La Liga, Sat 5 Sept, 16:15 (UK time). Full time: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Atletico Madrid.
Full time: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Atletico Madrid. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Athletic Bilbao to score 1.39 goals and Atletico Madrid 1.32. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.46 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Athletic Bilbao v Atletico Madrid | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.1% | 8.29 |
| 1–0 | 9.4% | 10.68 |
| 0–1 | 8.9% | 11.26 |
| 2–1 | 8.5% | 11.78 |
| 1–2 | 8.1% | 12.42 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao or draw | 64% | 1.55 |
| Atletico Madrid or draw | 61% | 1.64 |
| Athletic Bilbao or Atletico Madrid (no draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| Athletic Bilbao, draw no bet | 52% | 1.91 |
| Atletico Madrid, draw no bet | 48% | 2.09 |
League position
In the table, Athletic Bilbao are in position 13 of 20 with 3 points, and Atletico Madrid in position 4 with 7.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid played out
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Common questions
Who won Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid?
Athletic Bilbao won 3–0 against Atletico Madrid (La Liga, Sat 5 Sept, 16:15 UK time).
When was Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico Madrid played?
La Liga, kick-off Sat 5 Sept, 16:15 UK time.