These were our chances before kick-off.
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?
La Liga, Sun 1 Nov, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Sociedad.
Full time: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Sociedad. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Athletic Bilbao to score 1.78 goals and Real Sociedad 1.13. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | 2.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.00 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Athletic Bilbao v Real Sociedad | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.6% | 8.61 |
| 2–1 | 9.8% | 10.26 |
| 1–0 | 9.0% | 11.11 |
| 2–0 | 8.6% | 11.60 |
| 1–2 | 6.2% | 16.16 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao or draw | 76% | 1.32 |
| Real Sociedad or draw | 50% | 2.01 |
| Athletic Bilbao or Real Sociedad (no draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| Athletic Bilbao, draw no bet | 68% | 1.48 |
| Real Sociedad, draw no bet | 32% | 3.08 |
League position
In the table, Athletic Bilbao are in position 7 of 20 with 12 points, and Real Sociedad in position 5 with 19.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
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How Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad played out
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Common questions
Who won Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?
Athletic Bilbao won 2–1 against Real Sociedad (La Liga, Sun 1 Nov, 20:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Athletic Bilbao.
When was Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad played?
La Liga, kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 20:00 UK time.