Atlético Madrid v BarcelonaLa Liga · Sun 8 Nov, 20:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona: result and prediction
Odds at kick-off
Atletico3.84Best at 1xBet
Draw4.76Best at Kalshi
Barcelona1.96Won
What the bookmakers expected
BAI8 assessedRead the assessment
Our research published this before kick-off: the chance we gave each result.
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser10'
Giuliano Simeone1–0 · Julián Álvarez
43'
Álex BaenaYellow card
45'
Fermín López1–1
Half time1–1
66'
Fermín López1–2 · Lamine Yamal
74'
Marc BernalYellow card
87'
Marcos LlorenteYellow card
88'
Marc PubillYellow card
90'+4'
Morten HjulmandYellow card
Full time1–2
Key stats
Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona?
La Liga, Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Atlético Madrid 1-2 Barcelona.
Full time: Atlético Madrid 1-2 Barcelona. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Atlético Madrid to score 1.40 goals and Barcelona 1.79. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | 2.71 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Atlético Madrid v Barcelona | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.7% | 9.35 |
| 1–2 | 9.2% | 10.85 |
| 2–1 | 7.2% | 13.81 |
| 0–1 | 7.0% | 14.29 |
| 0–2 | 6.6% | 15.22 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid or draw | 58% | 1.73 |
| Barcelona or draw | 67% | 1.50 |
| Atlético Madrid or Barcelona (no draw) | 75% | 1.33 |
| Atlético Madrid, draw no bet | 44% | 2.26 |
| Barcelona, draw no bet | 56% | 1.79 |
League position
Atlético Madrid3of 20, 28 points from 11 games
Barcelona1of 20, 30 points from 11 games
In the table, Atlético Madrid are in position 3 of 20 with 28 points, and Barcelona in position 1 with 30.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Odds at kick-off
Atletico3.84Best at 1xBet
Draw4.76Best at Kalshi
Barcelona1.96Best at Matchbook
BookmakerAtleticoDrawBarcelona
1xBet3.844.561.78
KalshiExchange3.454.761.92
MatchbookExchange3.654.701.96
Bally Bet3.604.601.79
Bet Right3.404.001.92
Betclic3.254.301.70
BetfairExchange3.604.701.95
BetfairExchange3.604.701.95
The last prices each bookmaker quoted before the start. BAI8 is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.
How Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Atletico Madrid
Jan OblakGDávid HanckoCD-LMarc PubillCD-RAlejandro GrimaldoLBMarcos LlorenteRBPablo BarriosCM-LKokeCM-RÁlex BaenaLMGiuliano SimeoneRMJulián ÁlvarezCF-LLee Kang-InCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Frenkie de JongOn for Brian Fariñas
60'
Andreas ChristensenOn for João Cancelo
60'
Alexander SørlothOn for Lee Kang-In
72'
Morten HjulmandOn for Koke
72'
Johnny CardosoOn for Álex Baena
74'
Eric GarcíaOn for Marc Bernal
74'
GaviOn for Fermín López
78'
Jonathan DavidOn for Pablo Barrios
86'
Karim AdeyemiOn for Anthony Gordon
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
3Atletico
4Draws
12Barcelona
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona?
Barcelona won 2–1 away at Atlético Madrid (La Liga, Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Barcelona.
When was Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona played?
La Liga, kick-off Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 UK time.
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