These were our chances before kick-off.
Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?
La Liga, Wed 16 Sept, 19:00 (UK time). Full time: Atletico Madrid 4-0 Osasuna.
Full time: Atletico Madrid 4-0 Osasuna. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Atletico Madrid to score 1.92 goals and Osasuna 0.93. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.15 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Atletico Madrid v Osasuna | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 10.9% | 9.16 |
| 2–0 | 10.7% | 9.35 |
| 1–1 | 10.6% | 9.43 |
| 2–1 | 9.9% | 10.09 |
| 3–0 | 6.8% | 14.64 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid or draw | 83% | 1.21 |
| Osasuna or draw | 40% | 2.52 |
| Atletico Madrid or Osasuna (no draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| Atletico Madrid, draw no bet | 78% | 1.29 |
| Osasuna, draw no bet | 22% | 4.46 |
League position
In the table, Atletico Madrid are in position 5 of 20 with 10 points, and Osasuna in position 11 with 7.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna played out
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Common questions
Who won Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?
Atletico Madrid won 4–0 against Osasuna (La Liga, Wed 16 Sept, 19:00 UK time).
When was Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna played?
La Liga, kick-off Wed 16 Sept, 19:00 UK time.