Atletico Madrid v Real MadridLa Liga · Sun 20 Sept, 16:15
Full time 2-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
La Liga, Sun 20 Sept, 16:15 (UK time). Full time: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid.
Full time: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Atletico Madrid to score 1.35 goals and Real Madrid 1.71. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | 2.56 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.73 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.1% | 9.01 |
| 1–2 | 9.3% | 10.81 |
| 0–1 | 7.8% | 12.89 |
| 2–1 | 7.3% | 13.68 |
| 0–2 | 6.9% | 14.60 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid or draw | 54% | 1.84 |
| Real Madrid or draw | 70% | 1.43 |
| Atletico Madrid or Real Madrid (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| Atletico Madrid, draw no bet | 40% | 2.51 |
| Real Madrid, draw no bet | 60% | 1.66 |
League position
Atletico Madrid4of 20, 13 points from 6 games
Real Madrid2of 20, 15 points from 6 games
In the table, Atletico Madrid are in position 4 of 20 with 13 points, and Real Madrid in position 2 with 15.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
4Atletico
9Draws
6Real Madrid
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo
Sat 21 Nov, 20:00. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
Free plan: 5 assessments a month. No card.
Common questions
Who won Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
Atletico Madrid won 2–1 against Real Madrid (La Liga, Sun 20 Sept, 16:15 UK time).
When was Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid played?
La Liga, kick-off Sun 20 Sept, 16:15 UK time.
More matches
La Liga20:00Real MadridCelta Vigo11.20X7.00212.00
La Liga20:00GetafeAtletico Madrid15.60X3.8021.60
La LigaFull timeDeportivo La Coruna1Real Betis1
La LigaFull timeGetafe1Malaga0La LigaFull timeValencia2Real Sociedad3
La LigaFull timeVillarreal3Levante1Germany Bundesliga Women11:00TSG Hoffenheim WomenSC Freiburg Women11.74X3.6823.65
League Two12:30Exeter CityCheltenham Town11.85X3.5023.80
