These were our chances before kick-off.
Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano?
La Liga, Mon 31 Aug, 21:30 (UK time). Full time: Barcelona 5-2 Rayo Vallecano.
Full time: Barcelona 5-2 Rayo Vallecano. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Barcelona to score 2.57 goals and Rayo Vallecano 0.78. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | 2.01 |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | 1.99 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Barcelona v Rayo Vallecano | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 11.6% | 8.59 |
| 3–0 | 10.0% | 10.05 |
| 1–0 | 9.1% | 10.94 |
| 2–1 | 9.0% | 11.06 |
| 3–1 | 7.7% | 12.94 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona or draw | 91% | 1.10 |
| Rayo Vallecano or draw | 24% | 4.17 |
| Barcelona or Rayo Vallecano (no draw) | 85% | 1.17 |
| Barcelona, draw no bet | 89% | 1.12 |
| Rayo Vallecano, draw no bet | 11% | 9.32 |
League position
In the table, Barcelona are in position 5 of 20 with 6 points, and Rayo Vallecano in position 16 with 1.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano played out
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Common questions
Who won Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano?
Barcelona won 5–2 against Rayo Vallecano (La Liga, Mon 31 Aug, 21:30 UK time).
When was Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano played?
La Liga, kick-off Mon 31 Aug, 21:30 UK time.