Barcelona v Real MadridLa Liga · Sun 25 Oct, 20:00
Full time 1-2These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Barcelona, lost.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser41'
Half time0–1
46'
Aurélien TchouaméniYellow card
61'
Raphinha1–1 · Pedri
84'
Anthony GordonYellow card
87'
Kylian Mbappé1–2 · Eduardo Camavinga
90'+2'
Dean HuijsenYellow card
90'+4'
Kylian MbappéYellow card
90'+6'
Karim AdeyemiYellow card
90'+6'
Alejandro BaldeYellow card
Full time1–2
Key stats
Who will win Barcelona vs Real Madrid?
La Liga, Sun 25 Oct, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid.
Full time: Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Barcelona to score 2.27 goals and Real Madrid 1.31. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | 2.92 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Barcelona v Real Madrid | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–1 | 9.4% | 10.62 |
| 1–1 | 8.7% | 11.53 |
| 2–0 | 7.2% | 13.85 |
| 3–1 | 7.1% | 14.04 |
| 2–2 | 6.2% | 16.26 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona or draw | 80% | 1.26 |
| Real Madrid or draw | 40% | 2.49 |
| Barcelona or Real Madrid (no draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| Barcelona, draw no bet | 75% | 1.34 |
| Real Madrid, draw no bet | 25% | 3.95 |
League position
Barcelona1of 20, 27 points from 9 games
Real Madrid3of 20, 21 points from 9 games
In the table, Barcelona are in position 1 of 20 with 27 points, and Real Madrid in position 3 with 21.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Barcelona vs Real Madrid played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Barcelona
Joan GarcíaGGerard MartínCD-LPau CubarsíCD-RJoão CanceloLBXavi EspartRBRodriCMPedriLMFermín LópezRMRaphinhaFAnthony GordonLFLamine YamalRF
Substitutes
Substitutions
30'
Alejandro BaldeOn for Xavi Espart
62'
Denzel DumfriesOn for Federico Valverde
74'
Frenkie de JongOn for Fermín López
80'
Eduardo CamavingaOn for Bernardo Silva
85'
Karim AdeyemiOn for Anthony Gordon
86'
Gabriel JesusOn for Raphinha
90'+4'
Trent Alexander-ArnoldOn for Arda Güler
90'+4'
Carlos EspíOn for Yan Diomande
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
8Barcelona
2Draws
9Real Madrid
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Barcelona vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid won 2–1 away at Barcelona (La Liga, Sun 25 Oct, 20:00 UK time).
When was Barcelona vs Real Madrid played?
La Liga, kick-off Sun 25 Oct, 20:00 UK time.
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