Elche v Real MadridLa Liga · Tue 15 Sept, 21:30
Full time 2-3These were our chances before kick-off.
Elche vs Real Madrid: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Elche vs Real Madrid?
La Liga, Tue 15 Sept, 21:30 (UK time). Full time: Elche 2-3 Real Madrid.
Full time: Elche 2-3 Real Madrid. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Elche to score 1.03 goals and Real Madrid 2.30. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | 1.72 |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | 2.39 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.35 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Elche v Real Madrid | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–2 | 9.8% | 10.25 |
| 0–2 | 9.4% | 10.60 |
| 1–1 | 8.7% | 11.48 |
| 0–1 | 8.0% | 12.48 |
| 1–3 | 7.5% | 13.39 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Elche or draw | 35% | 2.89 |
| Real Madrid or draw | 85% | 1.18 |
| Elche or Real Madrid (no draw) | 81% | 1.24 |
| Elche, draw no bet | 19% | 5.23 |
| Real Madrid, draw no bet | 81% | 1.24 |
League position
Elche20of 20, 2 points from 5 games
Real Madrid2of 20, 12 points from 5 games
In the table, Elche are in position 20 of 20 with 2 points, and Real Madrid in position 2 with 12.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Elche vs Real Madrid played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 9 meetings since 2020
0Elche
3Draws
6Real Madrid
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Elche vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid won 3–2 away at Elche (La Liga, Tue 15 Sept, 21:30 UK time).
When was Elche vs Real Madrid played?
La Liga, kick-off Tue 15 Sept, 21:30 UK time.
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