Espanyol v Atlético MadridLa Liga · Sat 17 Oct, 13:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser22'
Morten HjulmandYellow card
43'
Lee Kang-InYellow card
Half time0–0
66'
Cristian RomeroYellow card
68'
Álex BaenaYellow card
79'
Rodrigo MendozaYellow card
81'
Roger HinojoYellow card
87'
Unai NúñezYellow card
89'
Álex Baena0–1 · Julián Álvarez
Full time0–1
Key stats
Who will win Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
La Liga, Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 (UK time). Full time: Espanyol 0-1 Atlético Madrid.
Full time: Espanyol 0-1 Atlético Madrid. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Espanyol to score 1.08 goals and Atlético Madrid 1.81. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.24 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.06 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Espanyol v Atlético Madrid | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.2% | 8.95 |
| 1–2 | 9.8% | 10.17 |
| 0–1 | 9.8% | 10.20 |
| 0–2 | 9.1% | 10.96 |
| 1–3 | 5.9% | 16.89 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Espanyol or draw | 56% | 1.80 |
| Atlético Madrid or draw | 69% | 1.45 |
| Espanyol or Atlético Madrid (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| Espanyol, draw no bet | 41% | 2.43 |
| Atlético Madrid, draw no bet | 59% | 1.70 |
League position
Espanyol12of 20, 8 points from 8 games
Atlético Madrid2of 20, 19 points from 8 games
In the table, Espanyol are in position 12 of 20 with 8 points, and Atlético Madrid in position 2 with 19.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Espanyol
Ángel FortuñoGClemens RiedelCDLeandro CabreraCD-LVanja DrkusicCD-RRoger HinojoLBOmar El HilaliRBPol LozanoCM-LEdu ExpósitoCM-RBryan ZaragozaLMJavi HernandezRMRoberto FernándezF
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Julián ÁlvarezOn for Ademola Lookman
45'
Alejandro GrimaldoOn for Daniel Martinez
55'
Marcos LlorenteOn for Pablo Barrios
62'
Álex BaenaOn for Lee Kang-In
64'
Unai NúñezOn for Vanja Drkusic
67'
Rodrigo MendozaOn for Cristian Romero
73'
CalaOn for Edu Expósito
73'
Gabriel MoscardoOn for Javi Hernandez
82'
Javier PuadoOn for Bryan Zaragoza
82'
Marcos FernándezOn for Roberto Fernández
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 15 meetings since 2017
4Espanyol
5Draws
6Atletico
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol
Fri 20 Nov, 20:00. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
Free plan: 5 assessments a month. No card.
Common questions
Who won Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
Atlético Madrid won 1–0 away at Espanyol (La Liga, Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Atlético Madrid.
When was Espanyol vs Atlético Madrid played?
La Liga, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 UK time.
More matches
La Liga20:00Athletic BilbaoEspanyol11.48X4.3026.50
La Liga20:00GetafeAtletico Madrid15.50X3.7521.60
La LigaFull timeReal Betis2Barcelona5
La LigaFull timeValencia0Athletic Bilbao0
La LigaFull timeVillarreal0Elche0
UEFA Nations League17:00MoldovaKazakhstan12.65X2.9222.75Germany Bundesliga Women17:30Hamburger SV WomenMainz 05 Women11.60X3.8024.20
France Coupe De France19:00DijonOrleans11.51X4.2025.30
