Málaga v Real SociedadLa Liga · Sun 18 Oct, 17:30
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Málaga vs Real Sociedad: result and prediction
La LigaSunday 18 Oct 2026Malaga
- Niño 54'
- Martínez 66'
2–5
Full timeHalf time 0–2Real Sociedad
- Kubo 3'
- Óskarsson 26'
- Oyarzabal 59'
- Oyarzabal 67'
- Guedes 73'
Venue La Rosaleda
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser3'
Takefusa Kubo0–1 · Héctor Fort
26'
37'
Jon MartínYellow card
Half time0–2
54'
Adrián Niño1–2 · Pablo Martínez
59'
Mikel Oyarzabal1–3 · Takefusa Kubo
62'
Mamadou SarrYellow card
66'
67'
Mikel Oyarzabal2–4 · Jon Martín
73'
Full time2–5
Key stats
Who will win Málaga vs Real Sociedad?
La Liga, Sun 18 Oct, 17:30 (UK time). Full time: Málaga 2-5 Real Sociedad.
Full time: Málaga 2-5 Real Sociedad. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Málaga to score 1.07 goals and Real Sociedad 1.63. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.02 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.51 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Málaga v Real Sociedad | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.0% | 8.31 |
| 0–1 | 10.7% | 9.36 |
| 1–2 | 9.6% | 10.47 |
| 0–2 | 9.0% | 11.16 |
| 0–0 | 7.1% | 14.16 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga or draw | 54% | 1.84 |
| Real Sociedad or draw | 73% | 1.37 |
| Málaga or Real Sociedad (no draw) | 73% | 1.38 |
| Málaga, draw no bet | 37% | 2.70 |
| Real Sociedad, draw no bet | 63% | 1.59 |
League position
Málaga20of 20, 4 points from 8 games
Real Sociedad6of 20, 13 points from 8 games
In the table, Málaga are in position 20 of 20 with 4 points, and Real Sociedad in position 6 with 13.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Malaga vs Real Sociedad played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Malaga
Alfonso HerreroGÁngel RecioCD-LFernando CaleroCD-RJosé SalinasLBRafa GarridoRBIzan MerinoCM-LCarlos DotorCM-RPablo MartínezLMDavid LarrubiaRMChupeteCF-LAdrián NiñoCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Ramón EnríquezOn for Izan Merino
45'
Adam AznouOn for José Salinas
61'
Gonçalo GuedesOn for Ander Barrenetxea
61'
Igor ZubeldiaOn for Héctor Fort
64'
Daniel LorenzoOn for Carlos Dotor
68'
Joaquín MuñozOn for David Larrubia
71'
Sergio GómezOn for Aihen Muñoz
71'
Job OchiengOn for Takefusa Kubo
79'
Alex MarchalOn for Orri Óskarsson
82'
Carlos PugaOn for Adrián Niño
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 3 meetings since 2017
2Malaga
0Draws
1Real Sociedad
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad
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Common questions
Who won Málaga vs Real Sociedad?
Real Sociedad won 5–2 away at Málaga (La Liga, Sun 18 Oct, 17:30 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Málaga vs Real Sociedad?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Real Sociedad.
When was Málaga vs Real Sociedad played?
La Liga, kick-off Sun 18 Oct, 17:30 UK time.
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