Malaga v VillarrealLa Liga · Thu 17 Sept, 21:30
Full time 1-3These were our chances before kick-off.
Malaga vs Villarreal: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Malaga vs Villarreal?
La Liga, Thu 17 Sept, 21:30 (UK time). Full time: Malaga 1-3 Villarreal.
Full time: Malaga 1-3 Villarreal. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Malaga to score 0.80 goals and Villarreal 1.70. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | 2.21 |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | 1.83 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Malaga v Villarreal | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | 13.7% | 7.30 |
| 0–2 | 11.9% | 8.41 |
| 1–1 | 11.4% | 8.75 |
| 1–2 | 9.5% | 10.54 |
| 0–0 | 8.5% | 11.79 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Malaga or draw | 41% | 2.42 |
| Villarreal or draw | 83% | 1.21 |
| Malaga or Villarreal (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| Malaga, draw no bet | 23% | 4.44 |
| Villarreal, draw no bet | 77% | 1.29 |
League position
Malaga18of 20, 3 points from 5 games
Villarreal19of 20, 2 points from 5 games
In the table, Malaga are in position 18 of 20 with 3 points, and Villarreal in position 19 with 2.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Malaga vs Villarreal played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 3 meetings since 2017
1Malaga
0Draws
2Villarreal
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Malaga vs Villarreal?
Villarreal won 3–1 away at Malaga (La Liga, Thu 17 Sept, 21:30 UK time).
When was Malaga vs Villarreal played?
La Liga, kick-off Thu 17 Sept, 21:30 UK time.
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