Real Madrid v MalagaLa Liga · Sun 30 Aug, 17:00
Full time 4-0These were our chances before kick-off.
Real Madrid vs Malaga: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Real Madrid vs Malaga?
La Liga, Sun 30 Aug, 17:00 (UK time). Full time: Real Madrid 4-0 Malaga.
Full time: Real Madrid 4-0 Malaga. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Real Madrid to score 3.19 goals and Malaga 0.55. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | 2.48 |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | 1.68 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28% | 3.58 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Real Madrid v Malaga | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 3–0 | 12.9% | 7.76 |
| 2–0 | 12.1% | 8.25 |
| 4–0 | 10.3% | 9.73 |
| 1–0 | 7.7% | 13.07 |
| 3–1 | 7.1% | 14.18 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid or draw | 96% | 1.04 |
| Malaga or draw | 12% | 8.16 |
| Real Madrid or Malaga (no draw) | 91% | 1.09 |
| Real Madrid, draw no bet | 96% | 1.04 |
| Malaga, draw no bet | 4% | 25.37 |
League position
Real Madrid4of 20, 6 points from 2 games
Malaga18of 20, 1 point from 2 games
In the table, Real Madrid are in position 4 of 20 with 6 points, and Malaga in position 18 with 1.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Real Madrid vs Malaga played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 3 meetings since 2017
3Real Madrid
0Draws
0Malaga
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Real Madrid vs Malaga?
Real Madrid won 4–0 against Malaga (La Liga, Sun 30 Aug, 17:00 UK time).
When was Real Madrid vs Malaga played?
La Liga, kick-off Sun 30 Aug, 17:00 UK time.
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