Real Madrid v Rayo VallecanoLa Liga · Sat 12 Sept, 21:00
Full time 4-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
La Liga, Sat 12 Sept, 21:00 (UK time). Full time: Real Madrid 4-1 Rayo Vallecano.
Full time: Real Madrid 4-1 Rayo Vallecano. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Real Madrid to score 2.53 goals and Rayo Vallecano 0.86. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.92 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 10.8% | 9.25 |
| 2–1 | 9.3% | 10.76 |
| 3–0 | 9.1% | 10.99 |
| 1–0 | 8.6% | 11.70 |
| 3–1 | 7.8% | 12.79 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid or draw | 89% | 1.12 |
| Rayo Vallecano or draw | 26% | 3.78 |
| Real Madrid or Rayo Vallecano (no draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| Real Madrid, draw no bet | 87% | 1.14 |
| Rayo Vallecano, draw no bet | 13% | 7.93 |
League position
Real Madrid4of 20, 9 points from 4 games
Rayo Vallecano14of 20, 4 points from 4 games
In the table, Real Madrid are in position 4 of 20 with 9 points, and Rayo Vallecano in position 14 with 4.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 13 meetings since 2018
7Real Madrid
4Draws
2Rayo Vallecano
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia
Sat 21 Nov, 15:15. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
Free plan: 5 assessments a month. No card.
Common questions
Who won Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano?
Real Madrid won 4–1 against Rayo Vallecano (La Liga, Sat 12 Sept, 21:00 UK time).
When was Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano played?
La Liga, kick-off Sat 12 Sept, 21:00 UK time.
More matches
La Liga15:15Rayo VallecanoValencia11.97X3.4023.70
La Liga20:00Real MadridCelta Vigo11.20X7.00212.00
La LigaFull timeAthletic Bilbao1Elche1
La LigaFull timeOsasuna0Espanyol2
La LigaFull timeRacing Santander2Deportivo Alaves1
UEFA Nations League17:00MoldovaKazakhstan12.65X2.9122.80Germany Bundesliga Women17:30Hamburger SV WomenMainz 05 Women11.60X3.8024.20
France Coupe De France19:00DijonOrleans11.51X4.2025.30
