Real Madrid v SevillaLa Liga · Sun 18 Oct, 20:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser23'
Felix CorreiaYellow card
23'
Dean HuijsenYellow card
30'
Arda GülerYan Diomande
37'
Kylian MbappéJude Bellingham
Half time2–0
63'
Kylian MbappéPenalty
69'
Juan IglesiasYellow card
73'
Marc CucurellaYellow card
80'
Manu BuenoLucas Stassin
82'
Yan DiomandeAurélien Tchouaméni
Full time4–1
Key stats
Who will win Real Madrid vs Sevilla?
La Liga, Sun 18 Oct, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Real Madrid 4-1 Sevilla.
Full time: Real Madrid 4-1 Sevilla. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Real Madrid to score 2.45 goals and Sevilla 0.77. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.03 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.97 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Real Madrid v Sevilla | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 12.0% | 8.35 |
| 3–0 | 9.8% | 10.21 |
| 1–0 | 9.6% | 10.46 |
| 2–1 | 9.2% | 10.83 |
| 1–1 | 7.7% | 12.94 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid or draw | 89% | 1.12 |
| Sevilla or draw | 29% | 3.41 |
| Real Madrid or Sevilla (no draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| Real Madrid, draw no bet | 87% | 1.16 |
| Sevilla, draw no bet | 13% | 7.42 |
League position
Real Madrid4of 20, 18 points from 8 games
Sevilla6of 20, 14 points from 8 games
In the table, Real Madrid are in position 4 of 20 with 18 points, and Sevilla in position 6 with 14.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Real Madrid vs Sevilla played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Real Madrid
Thibaut CourtoisGDean HuijsenCD-LIbrahima KonatéCD-RMarc CucurellaLBFederico ValverdeRBJude BellinghamAMAurélien TchouaméniLMArda GülerRMKylian MbappéFYan DiomandeAM-LEndrickAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Chidera EjukeOn for Rubén Vargas
56'
Lucas StassinOn for Robbie Ure
56'
Manu BuenoOn for Peque
69'
Brahim DíazOn for Endrick
70'
Bernardo SilvaOn for Jude Bellingham
72'
José Ángel CarmonaOn for Juan Iglesias
73'
Alfonso GonzálezOn for Felix Correia
78'
Eduardo CamavingaOn for Arda Güler
85'
Carlos EspíOn for Kylian Mbappé
85'
Éder MilitãoOn for Federico Valverde
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
15Real Madrid
2Draws
2Sevilla
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Sevilla vs Real Betis
Sat 21 Nov, 17:30. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
Free plan: 5 assessments a month. No card.
Common questions
Who won Real Madrid vs Sevilla?
Real Madrid won 4–1 against Sevilla (La Liga, Sun 18 Oct, 20:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Real Madrid vs Sevilla?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Real Madrid.
When was Real Madrid vs Sevilla played?
La Liga, kick-off Sun 18 Oct, 20:00 UK time.
More matches
La Liga17:30SevillaReal Betis12.88X3.5022.30
La Liga20:00Real MadridCelta Vigo11.20X7.00212.00
La LigaFull timeCelta Vigo2Deportivo Alaves1
La LigaFull timeMalaga2Real Sociedad5
La LigaFull timeOsasuna2Racing Santander0
UEFA Nations League17:00MoldovaKazakhstan12.65X2.9022.80Germany Bundesliga Women17:30Hamburger SV WomenMainz 05 Women11.60X3.8024.20
France Coupe De France19:00DijonOrleans11.51X4.2025.30
