Real Madrid v VillarrealLa Liga · Sat 10 Oct, 20:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Real Madrid vs Villarreal: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
La Liga, Sat 10 Oct, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Real Madrid 1-0 Villarreal.
Full time: Real Madrid 1-0 Villarreal. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Real Madrid to score 2.40 goals and Villarreal 1.06. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | 1.68 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.47 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.05 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.20 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Real Madrid v Villarreal | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–1 | 9.6% | 10.43 |
| 2–0 | 9.1% | 11.01 |
| 1–1 | 8.1% | 12.32 |
| 3–1 | 7.7% | 13.00 |
| 1–0 | 7.4% | 13.50 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid or draw | 73% | 1.37 |
| Villarreal or draw | 47% | 2.13 |
| Real Madrid or Villarreal (no draw) | 80% | 1.25 |
| Real Madrid, draw no bet | 66% | 1.51 |
| Villarreal, draw no bet | 34% | 2.98 |
League position
Real Madrid4of 20, 15 points from 7 games
Villarreal9of 20, 8 points from 7 games
In the table, Real Madrid are in position 4 of 20 with 15 points, and Villarreal in position 9 with 8.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Real Madrid vs Villarreal played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2018
9Real Madrid
7Draws
3Villarreal
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
Real Madrid won 1–0 against Villarreal (La Liga, Sat 10 Oct, 20:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Real Madrid vs Villarreal?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Real Madrid.
When was Real Madrid vs Villarreal played?
La Liga, kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 20:00 UK time.
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