Valencia v Real MadridLa Liga · Sat 7 Nov, 20:00
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Valencia vs Real Madrid: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser26'
Pablo MaffeoYellow card
28'
36'
Arda Güler0–2
45'
Andriy LuninYellow card
Half time0–2
50'
Guido RodríguezYellow card
75'
Kylian Mbappé0–3 · Arda Güler
79'
José GayàRed card
80'
Yan DiomandeYellow card
80'
Luis RiojaYellow card
81'
PepeluYellow card
81'
Kylian MbappéYellow card
Full time0–3
Key stats
Who will win Valencia vs Real Madrid?
La Liga, Sat 7 Nov, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Valencia 0-3 Real Madrid.
Full time: Valencia 0-3 Real Madrid. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Valencia to score 0.84 goals and Real Madrid 1.98. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.03 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.97 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.15 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.20 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Valencia v Real Madrid | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | 11.7% | 8.53 |
| 0–1 | 11.5% | 8.71 |
| 1–1 | 10.2% | 9.78 |
| 1–2 | 9.8% | 10.19 |
| 0–3 | 7.8% | 12.90 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Valencia or draw | 37% | 2.74 |
| Real Madrid or draw | 85% | 1.17 |
| Valencia or Real Madrid (no draw) | 78% | 1.28 |
| Valencia, draw no bet | 19% | 5.30 |
| Real Madrid, draw no bet | 81% | 1.23 |
League position
Valencia19of 20, 9 points from 11 games
Real Madrid3of 20, 27 points from 11 games
In the table, Valencia are in position 19 of 20 with 9 points, and Real Madrid in position 3 with 27.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Valencia vs Real Madrid played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Valencia
Stole DimitrievskiGCésar TárregaCDJustin de HaasCD-LPepeluCD-RJosé GayàLBPablo MaffeoRBGuido RodríguezCMAaron MayolCM-LJavi GuerraCM-RArnaut DanjumaCF-LUmar SadiqCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Luis RiojaOn for Justin de Haas
59'
Aimar BlázquezOn for Umar Sadiq
63'
Filip UgrinicOn for Guido Rodríguez
63'
Arnau MartínezOn for Pablo Maffeo
82'
Jesús VázquezOn for Javi Guerra
84'
Brahim DíazOn for Yan Diomande
84'
Eduardo CamavingaOn for Arda Güler
84'
EndrickOn for Bernardo Silva
90'+1'
Thiago PitarchOn for Jude Bellingham
90'+1'
Carlos EspíOn for Kylian Mbappé
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
4Valencia
3Draws
12Real Madrid
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Valencia vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid won 3–0 away at Valencia (La Liga, Sat 7 Nov, 20:00 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Valencia vs Real Madrid?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Real Madrid.
When was Valencia vs Real Madrid played?
La Liga, kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 20:00 UK time.
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