Valencia v VillarrealLa Liga · Sat 24 Oct, 17:30
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Valencia vs Villarreal: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser34'
Dani RabaYellow card
37'
Renato VeigaYellow card
38'
PepeluPenalty
43'
Ayoze PérezYellow card
Half time1–0
59'
Tajon BuchananYellow card
60'
Pablo MaffeoYellow card
62'
Guido RodríguezYellow card
69'
Alex FreemanSergi Cardona
79'
Pape GueyeRed card
89'
Harvey ElliottYellow card
89'
Harvey ElliottRed card
90'+6'
Georges MikautadzeAlberto Moleiro
Full time1–2
Key stats
Who will win Valencia vs Villarreal?
La Liga, Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 (UK time). Full time: Valencia 1-2 Villarreal.
Full time: Valencia 1-2 Villarreal. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Valencia to score 1.01 goals and Villarreal 1.48. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | 2.01 |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | 1.99 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.20 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.16 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Valencia v Villarreal | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.9% | 7.73 |
| 0–1 | 11.7% | 8.53 |
| 1–2 | 9.2% | 10.91 |
| 0–2 | 9.1% | 11.01 |
| 0–0 | 8.8% | 11.31 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Valencia or draw | 58% | 1.74 |
| Villarreal or draw | 70% | 1.42 |
| Valencia or Villarreal (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Valencia, draw no bet | 41% | 2.43 |
| Villarreal, draw no bet | 59% | 1.70 |
League position
Valencia19of 20, 6 points from 9 games
Villarreal14of 20, 9 points from 9 games
In the table, Valencia are in position 19 of 20 with 6 points, and Villarreal in position 14 with 9.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Valencia vs Villarreal played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Valencia
Stole DimitrievskiGJustin de HaasCD-LCésar TárregaCD-RJosé GayàLBPablo MaffeoRBPepeluCM-LGuido RodríguezCM-RLuis RiojaLMDavid OtorbiRMArnaut DanjumaCF-LJavi GuerraCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
14'
Dani RabaOn for David Otorbi
65'
Sergi CardonaOn for Juan Foyth
65'
Alberto MoleiroOn for Ilias Akhomach
66'
Georges MikautadzeOn for Ayoze Pérez
70'
Arnau MartínezOn for Dani Raba
70'
Harvey ElliottOn for Javi Guerra
77'
Filip UgrinicOn for Pablo Maffeo
77'
Hugo DuroOn for Justin de Haas
82'
Santi ComesañaOn for Gerard Moreno
87'
Pau NavarroOn for Tajon Buchanan
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
5Valencia
4Draws
10Villarreal
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Valencia vs Villarreal?
Villarreal won 2–1 away at Valencia (La Liga, Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Valencia vs Villarreal?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Villarreal.
When was Valencia vs Villarreal played?
La Liga, kick-off Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 UK time.
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