Villarreal v EspanyolLa Liga · Fri 30 Oct, 20:00
Full time 0-1These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Villarreal, lost.
Villarreal vs Espanyol: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser21'
Rafael BauzaYellow card
41'
Roger HinojoYellow card
Half time0–0
53'
Sergi CardonaYellow card
56'
Santi ComesañaYellow card
60'
Leandro Cabrera0–1 · Bryan Zaragoza
75'
Bryan ZaragozaYellow card
90'+1'
Carlos MaciàYellow card
Full time0–1
Key stats
Who will win Villarreal vs Espanyol?
La Liga, Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Villarreal 0-1 Espanyol.
Full time: Villarreal 0-1 Espanyol. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Villarreal to score 2.24 goals and Espanyol 0.83. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.96 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.46 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Villarreal v Espanyol | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 11.6% | 8.63 |
| 1–0 | 9.8% | 10.18 |
| 2–1 | 9.7% | 10.34 |
| 1–1 | 9.2% | 10.91 |
| 3–0 | 8.7% | 11.55 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal or draw | 81% | 1.23 |
| Espanyol or draw | 41% | 2.42 |
| Villarreal or Espanyol (no draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| Villarreal, draw no bet | 76% | 1.32 |
| Espanyol, draw no bet | 24% | 4.12 |
League position
Villarreal10of 20, 12 points from 10 games
Espanyol18of 20, 8 points from 10 games
In the table, Villarreal are in position 10 of 20 with 12 points, and Espanyol in position 18 with 8.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Villarreal vs Espanyol played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Villarreal
Péter GulácsiGRenato VeigaCD-LPau NavarroCD-RSergi CardonaLBSantiago MouriñoRBSanti ComesañaCM-LCarlos MaciàCM-RAlberto MoleiroLMTajon BuchananRMGeorges MikautadzeCF-LGerard MorenoCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
18'
Nicolas PépéOn for Gerard Moreno
59'
Ayoze PérezOn for Alberto Moleiro
59'
Carlos RomeroOn for Sergi Cardona
61'
José Ángel LópezOn for Roger Hinojo
61'
Pol LozanoOn for Rafael Bauza
77'
Javier PuadoOn for Bryan Zaragoza
77'
Jan Peries DuranOn for Alejandro Santiago Vargas
80'
Alex FreemanOn for Pau Navarro
80'
Tani OluwaseyiOn for Tajon Buchanan
88'
Gabriel MoscardoOn for Javi Hernandez
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 15 meetings since 2017
8Villarreal
4Draws
3Espanyol
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Villarreal vs Espanyol?
Espanyol won 1–0 away at Villarreal (La Liga, Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 UK time).
When was Villarreal vs Espanyol played?
La Liga, kick-off Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 UK time.
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