Luton Town v Doncaster RoversLeague One · Tue 27 Oct, 19:45
Full time 3-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Luton Town vs Doncaster Rovers: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser11'
Jamie SterryYellow card
30'
Jamie DonleyYellow card
44'
Callum MarshallPenalty
Half time1–0
51'
60'
Owen BaileyYellow card
72'
90'+3'
Jordan ThomasYellow card
Full time3–1
Key stats
Who will win Luton Town vs Doncaster Rovers?
League One, Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 (UK time). Full time: Luton Town 3-1 Doncaster Rovers.
Full time: Luton Town 3-1 Doncaster Rovers. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Luton Town to score 1.77 goals and Doncaster Rovers 1.06. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | 2.20 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.18 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Luton Town v Doncaster Rovers | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.4% | 8.78 |
| 1–0 | 10.1% | 9.89 |
| 2–1 | 9.8% | 10.20 |
| 2–0 | 9.2% | 10.85 |
| 0–0 | 6.2% | 16.10 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Luton Town or draw | 78% | 1.29 |
| Doncaster Rovers or draw | 46% | 2.15 |
| Luton Town or Doncaster Rovers (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| Luton Town, draw no bet | 71% | 1.42 |
| Doncaster Rovers, draw no bet | 29% | 3.40 |
League position
Luton Town10of 24, 17 points from 11 games
Doncaster Rovers17of 24, 12 points from 11 games
In the table, Luton Town are in position 10 of 24 with 17 points, and Doncaster Rovers in position 17 with 12.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Luton Town vs Doncaster Rovers played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Substitutions
41'
Tudor Mendel-IdowuOn for Nahki Wells
45'
Brandon HanlanOn for Hakeeb Adelakun
68'
George BroadbentOn for Robbie Gotts
69'
Jordan ThomasOn for Leon Ayinde
69'
Bayley MccannOn for Jamie Sterry
71'
Emilio LawrenceOn for Kasey Palmer
72'
Daniel GoreOn for Liam Walsh
73'
Harry CliftonOn for Will Keane
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 5 meetings since 2018
3Luton Town
1Draws
1Doncaster Rovers
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Luton Town vs Doncaster Rovers?
Luton Town won 3–1 against Doncaster Rovers (League One, Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 UK time).
When was Luton Town vs Doncaster Rovers played?
League One, kick-off Tue 27 Oct, 19:45 UK time.
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