These were our chances before kick-off.
Notts County vs Burton Albion: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Notts County vs Burton Albion?
League One, Sat 29 Aug, 16:00 (UK time). Full time: Notts County 2-1 Burton Albion.
Full time: Notts County 2-1 Burton Albion. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Notts County to score 1.13 goals and Burton Albion 1.19. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | 2.12 |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | 1.89 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.87 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Notts County v Burton Albion | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.2% | 7.57 |
| 0–1 | 11.7% | 8.58 |
| 1–0 | 11.1% | 9.00 |
| 0–0 | 9.8% | 10.20 |
| 1–2 | 7.9% | 12.74 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Notts County or draw | 63% | 1.59 |
| Burton Albion or draw | 65% | 1.53 |
| Notts County or Burton Albion (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Notts County, draw no bet | 48% | 2.08 |
| Burton Albion, draw no bet | 52% | 1.93 |
League position
In the table, Notts County are in position 15 of 24 with 2 points, and Burton Albion in position 7 with 4.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Notts County vs Burton Albion played out
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Common questions
Who won Notts County vs Burton Albion?
Notts County won 2–1 against Burton Albion (League One, Sat 29 Aug, 16:00 UK time).
When was Notts County vs Burton Albion played?
League One, kick-off Sat 29 Aug, 16:00 UK time.