These were our chances before kick-off.
Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon?
League One, Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 (UK time). Full time: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 AFC Wimbledon.
Full time: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 AFC Wimbledon. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Plymouth Argyle to score 2.25 goals and AFC Wimbledon 0.75. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | 2.10 |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | 1.91 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Plymouth Argyle v AFC Wimbledon | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 12.6% | 7.95 |
| 1–0 | 10.9% | 9.16 |
| 2–1 | 9.5% | 10.57 |
| 3–0 | 9.4% | 10.59 |
| 1–1 | 8.7% | 11.56 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Argyle or draw | 89% | 1.12 |
| AFC Wimbledon or draw | 29% | 3.47 |
| Plymouth Argyle or AFC Wimbledon (no draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| Plymouth Argyle, draw no bet | 87% | 1.15 |
| AFC Wimbledon, draw no bet | 13% | 7.66 |
League position
In the table, Plymouth Argyle are in position 1 of 24 with 16 points, and AFC Wimbledon in position 9 with 12.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon played out
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Form
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Common questions
Who won Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon?
Plymouth Argyle won 2–1 against AFC Wimbledon (League One, Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 UK time).
When was Plymouth Argyle vs AFC Wimbledon played?
League One, kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 UK time.