These were our chances before kick-off.
Cheltenham Town vs Newport County: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Cheltenham Town vs Newport County?
League Two, Sat 24 Oct, 13:30 (UK time). Full time: Cheltenham Town 1-0 Newport County.
Full time: Cheltenham Town 1-0 Newport County. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Cheltenham Town to score 1.40 goals and Newport County 1.26. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.19 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.60 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Cheltenham Town v Newport County | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.6% | 7.94 |
| 1–0 | 9.5% | 10.52 |
| 2–1 | 8.6% | 11.57 |
| 0–1 | 8.5% | 11.72 |
| 1–2 | 7.8% | 12.85 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cheltenham Town or draw | 66% | 1.50 |
| Newport County or draw | 60% | 1.67 |
| Cheltenham Town or Newport County (no draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| Cheltenham Town, draw no bet | 54% | 1.84 |
| Newport County, draw no bet | 46% | 2.19 |
League position
In the table, Cheltenham Town are in position 5 of 24 with 18 points, and Newport County in position 12 with 15.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Cheltenham Town vs Newport County played out
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Substitutions
Form
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Common questions
Who won Cheltenham Town vs Newport County?
Cheltenham Town won 1–0 against Newport County (League Two, Sat 24 Oct, 13:30 UK time).
When was Cheltenham Town vs Newport County played?
League Two, kick-off Sat 24 Oct, 13:30 UK time.