These were our chances before kick-off.
Crewe Alexandra vs Northampton Town: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Crewe Alexandra vs Northampton Town?
League Two, Sat 22 Aug, 16:00 (UK time). Full time: Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Northampton Town.
Full time: Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Northampton Town. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Crewe Alexandra to score 0.91 goals and Northampton Town 1.27. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | 2.36 |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | 1.74 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.69 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.67 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Crewe Alexandra v Northampton Town | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | 14.9% | 6.73 |
| 1–1 | 12.6% | 7.96 |
| 0–0 | 10.8% | 9.23 |
| 1–0 | 10.8% | 9.25 |
| 0–2 | 9.1% | 10.98 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra or draw | 55% | 1.82 |
| Northampton Town or draw | 73% | 1.37 |
| Crewe Alexandra or Northampton Town (no draw) | 72% | 1.38 |
| Crewe Alexandra, draw no bet | 38% | 2.66 |
| Northampton Town, draw no bet | 62% | 1.60 |
League position
In the table, Crewe Alexandra are in position 10 of 24 with 3 points, and Northampton Town in position 15 with 1.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Crewe Alexandra vs Northampton Town played out
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Common questions
Who won Crewe Alexandra vs Northampton Town?
Crewe Alexandra won 1–0 against Northampton Town (League Two, Sat 22 Aug, 16:00 UK time).
When was Crewe Alexandra vs Northampton Town played?
League Two, kick-off Sat 22 Aug, 16:00 UK time.