These were our chances before kick-off.
Crewe Alexandra vs Rochdale: result and prediction
- Holícek 39'
- Gibson 45'
- Gibson 55'
- Tabiner 65' (og)
- Flint 90'
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Crewe Alexandra vs Rochdale?
League Two, Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 (UK time). Full time: Crewe Alexandra 3-2 Rochdale.
Full time: Crewe Alexandra 3-2 Rochdale. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Crewe Alexandra to score 1.53 goals and Rochdale 0.83. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | 2.25 |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | 1.80 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.67 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Crewe Alexandra v Rochdale | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 14.2% | 7.04 |
| 1–1 | 12.2% | 8.20 |
| 2–0 | 11.1% | 9.05 |
| 0–0 | 9.6% | 10.41 |
| 2–1 | 9.2% | 10.88 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra or draw | 80% | 1.25 |
| Rochdale or draw | 46% | 2.16 |
| Crewe Alexandra or Rochdale (no draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| Crewe Alexandra, draw no bet | 73% | 1.37 |
| Rochdale, draw no bet | 27% | 3.67 |
League position
In the table, Crewe Alexandra are in position 3 of 24 with 18 points, and Rochdale in position 11 with 14.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Crewe Alexandra vs Rochdale played out
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Substitutions
Form
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Common questions
Who won Crewe Alexandra vs Rochdale?
Crewe Alexandra won 3–2 against Rochdale (League Two, Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 UK time).
When was Crewe Alexandra vs Rochdale played?
League Two, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 UK time.