These were our chances before kick-off.
Newport County vs Chesterfield: result and prediction
- Norman 14'
- Davies 18'
- Biggins 29'
- Bamba 45'+2'
- Mandeville 58'
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserKey stats
Who will win Newport County vs Chesterfield?
League Two, Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 (UK time). Full time: Newport County 4-1 Chesterfield.
Full time: Newport County 4-1 Chesterfield. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Newport County to score 1.07 goals and Chesterfield 1.60. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.59 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Newport County v Chesterfield | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.3% | 8.13 |
| 0–1 | 10.7% | 9.37 |
| 1–2 | 9.5% | 10.54 |
| 0–2 | 8.9% | 11.24 |
| 0–0 | 7.4% | 13.55 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newport County or draw | 51% | 1.97 |
| Chesterfield or draw | 75% | 1.33 |
| Newport County or Chesterfield (no draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| Newport County, draw no bet | 33% | 2.99 |
| Chesterfield, draw no bet | 67% | 1.50 |
League position
In the table, Newport County are in position 16 of 24 with 15 points, and Chesterfield in position 7 with 19.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Newport County vs Chesterfield played out
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Substitutions
Form
Head to head
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Common questions
Who won Newport County vs Chesterfield?
Newport County won 4–1 against Chesterfield (League Two, Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 UK time).
When was Newport County vs Chesterfield played?
League Two, kick-off Fri 30 Oct, 19:45 UK time.