These were our chances before kick-off.
Newport County vs Grimsby Town: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Newport County vs Grimsby Town?
League Two, Sat 26 Sept, 16:00 (UK time). Full time: Newport County 2-1 Grimsby Town.
Full time: Newport County 2-1 Grimsby Town. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Newport County to score 0.94 goals and Grimsby Town 1.81. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.36 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Newport County v Grimsby Town | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | 11.3% | 8.82 |
| 1–1 | 11.1% | 9.02 |
| 0–2 | 10.5% | 9.53 |
| 1–2 | 9.9% | 10.15 |
| 0–0 | 6.6% | 15.13 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newport County or draw | 42% | 2.37 |
| Grimsby Town or draw | 81% | 1.23 |
| Newport County or Grimsby Town (no draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| Newport County, draw no bet | 25% | 4.04 |
| Grimsby Town, draw no bet | 75% | 1.33 |
League position
In the table, Newport County are in position 19 of 24 with 6 points, and Grimsby Town in position 3 with 13.
What the full research adds
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
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How Newport County vs Grimsby Town played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingLast meetings
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Common questions
Who won Newport County vs Grimsby Town?
Newport County won 2–1 against Grimsby Town (League Two, Sat 26 Sept, 16:00 UK time).
When was Newport County vs Grimsby Town played?
League Two, kick-off Sat 26 Sept, 16:00 UK time.