Port Vale v ChesterfieldLeague Two · Sat 17 Oct, 16:00
Full time 1-0These were our chances before kick-off.
Port Vale vs Chesterfield: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser15'
Cameron HumphreysYellow card
30'
Jordan Lawrence-GabrielYellow card
Half time1–0
54'
Ryan StirkYellow card
59'
Jaheim HeadleyYellow card
64'
Lewis GordonYellow card
Full time1–0
Key stats
Who will win Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
League Two, Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 (UK time). Full time: Port Vale 1-0 Chesterfield.
Full time: Port Vale 1-0 Chesterfield. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Port Vale to score 1.25 goals and Chesterfield 1.15. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | 2.04 |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | 1.96 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.51 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Port Vale v Chesterfield | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.3% | 7.54 |
| 1–0 | 11.1% | 9.02 |
| 0–1 | 10.2% | 9.81 |
| 0–0 | 9.3% | 10.76 |
| 2–1 | 8.2% | 12.27 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Port Vale or draw | 66% | 1.51 |
| Chesterfield or draw | 62% | 1.62 |
| Port Vale or Chesterfield (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Port Vale, draw no bet | 53% | 1.87 |
| Chesterfield, draw no bet | 47% | 2.14 |
League position
Port Vale22of 24, 8 points from 8 games
Chesterfield7of 24, 15 points from 10 games
In the table, Port Vale are in position 22 of 24 with 8 points, and Chesterfield in position 7 with 15.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Port Vale vs Chesterfield played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Substitutions
33'
Josh KoromaOn for Joel Randall
65'
Oliver LynchOn for Max Watters
66'
Keyrol FigueroaOn for Onel Hernández
73'
George ByersOn for George Hall
73'
Kyle JohnOn for Jaheim Headley
79'
Rhys WaltersOn for Kyle Dempsey
79'
Tom PearceOn for Lewis Gordon
79'
Liam MandevilleOn for Ryan Stirk
80'
Kiano DyerOn for Louie Marsh
84'
Will GriggOn for Dilan Kumar Markanday
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 5 meetings since 2017
3Port Vale
1Draws
1Chesterfield
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Port Vale vs Chesterfield?
Port Vale won 1–0 against Chesterfield (League Two, Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 UK time).
When was Port Vale vs Chesterfield played?
League Two, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 UK time.
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