Le Mans v ToulouseLigue 1 · Fri 16 Oct, 20:45
Full time 0-3These were our chances before kick-off.
Le Mans vs Toulouse: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser46'
Jacen Russell-Rowe0–1 · Aron Donnum
49'
Jacen Russell-RoweYellow card
59'
Aron Donnum0–2
87'
Casper Tengstedt0–3 · Cristian Cásseres Jr.
90'
Samuel YohouYellow card
90'+4'
Djibril SidibéYellow card
Full time0–3
Key stats
Who will win Le Mans vs Toulouse?
Ligue 1, Fri 16 Oct, 20:45 (UK time). Full time: Le Mans 0-3 Toulouse.
Full time: Le Mans 0-3 Toulouse. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Le Mans to score 1.43 goals and Toulouse 1.52. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | 2.48 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.30 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.93 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Le Mans v Toulouse | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.7% | 8.52 |
| 1–2 | 8.7% | 11.55 |
| 2–1 | 8.1% | 12.33 |
| 0–1 | 7.6% | 13.11 |
| 1–0 | 7.1% | 14.04 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Le Mans or draw | 60% | 1.65 |
| Toulouse or draw | 65% | 1.54 |
| Le Mans or Toulouse (no draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| Le Mans, draw no bet | 47% | 2.12 |
| Toulouse, draw no bet | 53% | 1.89 |
League position
Le Mans14of 18, 6 points from 6 games
Toulouse15of 18, 6 points from 6 games
In the table, Le Mans are in position 14 of 18 with 6 points, and Toulouse in position 15 with 6.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Le Mans vs Toulouse played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Le Mans
Nicolas KocikGSamuel YohouCDHarold VoyerCD-LDjibril SidibéCD-RLucas BretelleSWJean VercruysseCM-LDaouda TraoréCM-RYasser LarouciLMLucas BuadesRMDame GuèyeCF-LLouis MafoutaCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
61'
Lucas CalodatOn for Yasser Larouci
61'
Habib DialloOn for Dame Guèye
61'
Brahimi BilalOn for Daouda Traoré
64'
Alexis VossahOn for Aron Donnum
69'
Rayan BambaOn for Lucas Buades
76'
Julián VignoloOn for Jacen Russell-Rowe
77'
Noa BoisséOn for Harold Voyer
85'
Seny KoumbassaOn for Rasmus Nicolaisen
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 1 meeting since 2026
0Le Mans
0Draws
1Toulouse
Last meetings
Le MansToulouse0316 Oct2026Full timeAssessed
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: RC Lens vs Toulouse
Sat 21 Nov, 19:45. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
Free plan: 5 assessments a month. No card.
Common questions
Who won Le Mans vs Toulouse?
Toulouse won 3–0 away at Le Mans (Ligue 1, Fri 16 Oct, 20:45 UK time).
When was Le Mans vs Toulouse played?
Ligue 1, kick-off Fri 16 Oct, 20:45 UK time.
More matches
Ligue 119:45RC LensToulouse11.75X3.9324.00Ligue 119:45Olympique MarseilleLe Mans11.42X4.7026.40
UEFA Nations League17:00ArmeniaCyprus12.68X3.1522.62
UEFA Nations League17:00TurkeyBelgium13.55X3.9021.90
Copa del Rey17:30CD PuertollanoAlbacete15.37X4.2821.49
Women's Champions League17:45Barcelona WomenArsenal Women11.22X6.3328.60
Copa del Rey18:00CDA NavalcarneroReal Betis116.00X9.5021.10
Copa del Rey18:00TarancónLevante118.00X9.5021.09
