Lille v Le HavreLigue 1 · Sat 10 Oct, 16:15
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Lille vs Le Havre: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser5'
Dilane Bakwa1–0 · Tanguy Nianzou
Half time1–0
61'
Ayumu SekoRed card
63'
Rassoul NdiayeYellow card
76'
Djibril OuziadYellow card
85'
Maurits KjaergaardYellow card
90'+2'
Maxima GoffiYellow card
Full time1–0
Key stats
Who will win Lille vs Le Havre?
Ligue 1, Sat 10 Oct, 16:15 (UK time). Full time: Lille 1-0 Le Havre.
Full time: Lille 1-0 Le Havre. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Lille to score 1.84 goals and Le Havre 0.80. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | 2.14 |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | 1.88 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.67 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Lille v Le Havre | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 12.6% | 7.92 |
| 2–0 | 12.1% | 8.25 |
| 1–1 | 11.0% | 9.07 |
| 2–1 | 9.7% | 10.35 |
| 0–0 | 7.7% | 13.04 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille or draw | 75% | 1.33 |
| Le Havre or draw | 49% | 2.04 |
| Lille or Le Havre (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| Lille, draw no bet | 67% | 1.49 |
| Le Havre, draw no bet | 33% | 3.04 |
League position
Lille4of 18, 10 points from 5 games
Le Havre18of 18, 2 points from 5 games
In the table, Lille are in position 4 of 18 with 10 points, and Le Havre in position 18 with 2.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Lille vs Le Havre played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Substitutions
22'
Maxima GoffiOn for Tiago Santos
57'
Hákon HaraldssonOn for Gaetan Perrin
57'
Ayase UedaOn for Olivier Giroud
69'
Rayan FofanaOn for Sota Nakamura
69'
Junior MwangaOn for Josh Maja
73'
Calvin VerdonkOn for Romain Perraud
73'
Osame SahraouiOn for Ngal'ayel Mukau
82'
Kaito MizutaOn for Amir Richardson
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 7 meetings since 2023
5Lille
1Draws
1Le Havre
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Lille vs Le Havre?
Lille won 1–0 against Le Havre (Ligue 1, Sat 10 Oct, 16:15 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Lille vs Le Havre?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Lille.
When was Lille vs Le Havre played?
Ligue 1, kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 16:15 UK time.
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