Lille v Stade BrestoisLigue 1 · Sat 17 Oct, 20:45
Full time 1-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Lille vs Stade Brestois: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser6'
Mama BaldéGautier Lloris
13'
Kamory DoumbiaYellow card
Half time0–1
58'
Bradley LockoYellow card
64'
Olivier GiroudPenalty
90'
Calvin VerdonkYellow card
Full time1–1
Key stats
Who will win Lille vs Stade Brestois?
Ligue 1, Sat 17 Oct, 20:45 (UK time). Full time: Lille 1-1 Stade Brestois.
Full time: Lille 1-1 Stade Brestois. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Lille to score 1.76 goals and Stade Brestois 0.93. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.02 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.98 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.02 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.52 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Lille v Stade Brestois | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 11.6% | 8.64 |
| 1–1 | 11.5% | 8.73 |
| 2–0 | 10.5% | 9.52 |
| 2–1 | 9.8% | 10.22 |
| 0–0 | 7.1% | 14.04 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille or draw | 81% | 1.24 |
| Stade Brestois or draw | 43% | 2.30 |
| Lille or Stade Brestois (no draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| Lille, draw no bet | 74% | 1.34 |
| Stade Brestois, draw no bet | 26% | 3.92 |
League position
Lille3of 18, 13 points from 6 games
Stade Brestois8of 18, 8 points from 6 games
In the table, Lille are in position 3 of 18 with 13 points, and Stade Brestois in position 8 with 8.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Lille vs Stade Brestois played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Lille
Orlando GillGTanguy NianzouCD-LNathan NgoyCD-RRomain PerraudLBMaxima GoffiRBHákon HaraldssonAMNgal'ayel MukauLMBenjamin AndréRMOlivier GiroudFDilane BakwaAM-LEthan MbappéAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Joseph NongeOn for Mama Baldé
54'
Calvin VerdonkOn for Romain Perraud
65'
Soriba DiaouneOn for Dilane Bakwa
65'
Nabil BentalebOn for Benjamin André
77'
Ibrahim KantéOn for Pathé Mboup
77'
Maurits KjaergaardOn for Ngal'ayel Mukau
82'
Mamady DiambouOn for Kamory Doumbia
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 14 meetings since 2019
4Lille
7Draws
3Stade Brestois
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Lille vs Stade Brestois?
Nobody: Lille and Stade Brestois drew 1–1 (Ligue 1, Sat 17 Oct, 20:45 UK time).
When was Lille vs Stade Brestois played?
Ligue 1, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 20:45 UK time.
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