Olympique Marseille v Le HavreLigue 1 · Sun 25 Oct, 16:15
Full time 4-3These were our chances before kick-off.
Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre: result and prediction
Ligue 1Sunday 25 Oct 2026Olympique Marseille
- Egan-Riley 5'
- Weah 33'
- Paixão 50'
- Abdelli 55'
4–3
Full timeHalf time 2–0Le Havre
- Maja 77' (pen)
- N'Diaye 86'
- Maja 89'
Venue Stade Vélodrome
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser5'
CJ Egan-RileyEmerson
33'
Half time2–0
50'
Igor PaixãoAmine Gouiri
77'
Josh MajaPenalty
83'
Simon EbonogYellow card
89'
Josh MajaKaito Mizuta
90'+10'
Ayumu SekoYellow card
90'+11'
Mouhamed N'DiayeYellow card
90'+12'
Neal MaupayYellow card
Full time4–3
Key stats
Who will win Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre?
Ligue 1, Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 (UK time). Full time: Olympique Marseille 4-3 Le Havre.
Full time: Olympique Marseille 4-3 Le Havre. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Olympique Marseille to score 2.07 goals and Le Havre 0.96. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.19 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.41 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Olympique Marseille v Le Havre | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2–0 | 10.3% | 9.67 |
| 2–1 | 9.9% | 10.06 |
| 1–1 | 9.9% | 10.14 |
| 1–0 | 9.7% | 10.30 |
| 3–0 | 7.1% | 14.01 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Olympique Marseille or draw | 84% | 1.20 |
| Le Havre or draw | 37% | 2.68 |
| Olympique Marseille or Le Havre (no draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| Olympique Marseille, draw no bet | 79% | 1.26 |
| Le Havre, draw no bet | 21% | 4.84 |
League position
Olympique Marseille10of 18, 9 points from 7 games
Le Havre18of 18, 2 points from 7 games
In the table, Olympique Marseille are in position 10 of 18 with 9 points, and Le Havre in position 18 with 2.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Olympique Marseille
Jeffrey de LangeGNayef AguerdCD-LCJ Egan-RileyCD-REmersonLBTimothy WeahRBHimad AbdelliAMPierre-Emile HøjbjergLMTochukwu NnadiRMAmine GouiriFIgor PaixãoAM-LAmine HaritAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
61'
Josh MajaOn for Rassoul Ndiaye
61'
Sota NakamuraOn for Mbwana Samatta
77'
Daren MosengoOn for Amir Richardson
77'
Mouhamed N'DiayeOn for Enzo Koffi
78'
Keyliane AbdallahOn for Amine Harit
78'
Neal MaupayOn for Amine Gouiri
84'
Nouhoum KamissokoOn for Himad Abdelli
84'
Angel GomesOn for Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
84'
Kaito MizutaOn for Rayan Fofana
90'+2'
Ulisses GarciaOn for Igor Paixão
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 7 meetings since 2023
7Olympique Marseille
0Draws
0Le Havre
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre?
Olympique Marseille won 4–3 against Le Havre (Ligue 1, Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 UK time).
When was Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre played?
Ligue 1, kick-off Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 UK time.
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