Olympique Marseille v Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 · Sun 20 Sept, 20:45
Full time 1-2These were our chances before kick-off.
Olympique Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Olympique Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?
Ligue 1, Sun 20 Sept, 20:45 (UK time). Full time: Olympique Marseille 1-2 Paris Saint Germain.
Full time: Olympique Marseille 1-2 Paris Saint Germain. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Olympique Marseille to score 1.37 goals and Paris Saint Germain 1.93. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | 2.79 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.77 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.39 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Olympique Marseille v Paris Saint Germain | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.3% | 9.72 |
| 1–2 | 9.4% | 10.63 |
| 0–2 | 6.9% | 14.56 |
| 2–1 | 6.7% | 14.95 |
| 0–1 | 6.6% | 15.11 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Olympique Marseille or draw | 50% | 2.00 |
| Paris Saint Germain or draw | 73% | 1.37 |
| Olympique Marseille or Paris Saint Germain (no draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| Olympique Marseille, draw no bet | 35% | 2.87 |
| Paris Saint Germain, draw no bet | 65% | 1.54 |
League position
Olympique Marseille17of 18, 3 points from 4 games
Paris Saint Germain10of 18, 5 points from 4 games
In the table, Olympique Marseille are in position 17 of 18 with 3 points, and Paris Saint Germain in position 10 with 5.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Olympique Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 18 meetings since 2017
2Olympique Marseille
2Draws
14PSG
Last meetings
Olympique MarseilleParis Saint Germain1220 Sept2026Full timeAssessedParis Saint GermainOlympique Marseille508 Feb2026Full timeOlympique MarseilleParis Saint Germain1022 Sept2025Full timeParis Saint GermainOlympique Marseille3116 Mar2025Full timeOlympique MarseilleParis Saint Germain0327 Oct2024Full time
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Common questions
Who won Olympique Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain?
Paris Saint Germain won 2–1 away at Olympique Marseille (Ligue 1, Sun 20 Sept, 20:45 UK time).
When was Olympique Marseille vs Paris Saint Germain played?
Ligue 1, kick-off Sun 20 Sept, 20:45 UK time.
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