Paris Saint Germain v Le MansLigue 1 · Sat 10 Oct, 20:45
Full time 3-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans: result and prediction
Ligue 1Saturday 10 Oct 2026Paris Saint Germain
- Beraldo 19' (pen)
- Kvaratskhelia 61'
- Akliouche 68'
3–1
Full timeHalf time 1–0Le Mans
- Mafouta 54'
Venue Parc des Princes
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser19'
Lucas BeraldoPenalty
Half time1–0
47'
Dame GuèyeYellow card
54'
Louis MafoutaLucas Calodat
65'
Louis MafoutaYellow card
68'
Maghnes AklioucheWarren Zaïre-Emery
90'+2'
Rayan BambaYellow card
90'+2'
Brahimi BilalYellow card
90'+3'
Désiré DouéPenalty - Saved
90'+3'
Noa BoisséYellow card
Full time3–1
Key stats
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans?
Ligue 1, Sat 10 Oct, 20:45 (UK time). Full time: Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Le Mans.
Full time: Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Le Mans. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Paris Saint Germain to score 3.13 goals and Le Mans 0.83. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.84 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.19 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24% | 4.12 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Paris Saint Germain v Le Mans | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 3–0 | 9.7% | 10.32 |
| 2–0 | 9.3% | 10.78 |
| 3–1 | 8.1% | 12.36 |
| 2–1 | 7.8% | 12.90 |
| 4–0 | 7.6% | 13.16 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain or draw | 94% | 1.07 |
| Le Mans or draw | 18% | 5.54 |
| Paris Saint Germain or Le Mans (no draw) | 88% | 1.13 |
| Paris Saint Germain, draw no bet | 93% | 1.08 |
| Le Mans, draw no bet | 7% | 13.84 |
League position
Paris Saint Germain6of 18, 8 points from 5 games
Le Mans10of 18, 6 points from 5 games
In the table, Paris Saint Germain are in position 6 of 18 with 8 points, and Le Mans in position 10 with 6.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Paris Saint Germain
Matvei SafonovGLucas HernándezCD-LIllia ZabarnyiCD-RLucas DigneLBAchraf HakimiRBLucas BeraldoCMJoão NevesLMDro FernándezRMFerran TorresFMika GodtsLFMaghnes AklioucheRF
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Dame GuèyeOn for Habib Diallo
58'
Warren Zaïre-EmeryOn for João Neves
58'
Fabián RuizOn for Dro Fernández
59'
VitinhaOn for Lucas Beraldo
59'
Khvicha KvaratskheliaOn for Mika Godts
66'
Brahimi BilalOn for Jean Vercruysse
72'
Désiré DouéOn for Achraf Hakimi
72'
William HarhouzOn for Louis Mafouta
72'
Antoine RabillardOn for Alexandre Lauray
77'
Yasser LarouciOn for Lucas Calodat
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 1 meeting since 2026
1PSG
0Draws
0Le Mans
Last meetings
Paris Saint GermainLe Mans3110 Oct2026Full timeAssessed
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Common questions
Who won Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans?
Paris Saint Germain won 3–1 against Le Mans (Ligue 1, Sat 10 Oct, 20:45 UK time).
When was Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans played?
Ligue 1, kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 20:45 UK time.
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