Paris Saint Germain v TroyesLigue 1 · Sat 7 Nov, 20:05
Full time 1-0These were our chances before kick-off.
Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser34'
Illia ZabarnyiYellow card
39'
Illia Zabarnyi1–0 · Senny Mayulu
Half time1–0
79'
Jeremy Le DouaronYellow card
86'
Antoine MilleYellow card
Full time1–0
Key stats
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes?
Ligue 1, Sat 7 Nov, 20:05 (UK time). Full time: Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Troyes.
Full time: Paris Saint Germain 1-0 Troyes. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Paris Saint Germain to score 3.17 goals and Troyes 0.62. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | 2.25 |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | 1.80 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.69 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Paris Saint Germain v Troyes | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 3–0 | 12.0% | 8.33 |
| 2–0 | 11.4% | 8.79 |
| 4–0 | 9.5% | 10.53 |
| 3–1 | 7.4% | 13.44 |
| 2–1 | 7.1% | 14.18 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain or draw | 96% | 1.04 |
| Troyes or draw | 14% | 7.15 |
| Paris Saint Germain or Troyes (no draw) | 90% | 1.11 |
| Paris Saint Germain, draw no bet | 96% | 1.05 |
| Troyes, draw no bet | 4% | 22.29 |
League position
Paris Saint Germain1of 18, 20 points from 9 games
Troyes16of 18, 8 points from 9 games
In the table, Paris Saint Germain are in position 1 of 18 with 20 points, and Troyes in position 16 with 8.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Paris Saint Germain
Matvei SafonovGWillian PachoCD-LIllia ZabarnyiCD-RLucas HernándezLBWarren Zaïre-EmeryRBVitinhaCMFabián RuizLMSenny MayuluRMFerran TorresFMika GodtsLFDésiré DouéRF
Substitutes
Substitutions
62'
Hugo PicardOn for Kandet Diawara
62'
Jeremy Le DouaronOn for Renaud Ripart
70'
João NevesOn for Mika Godts
70'
Quentin NdjantouOn for Ferran Torres
72'
Idrissa SoukounaOn for Merwan Ifnaoui
73'
Yvann TitiOn for Ismael Boura
85'
Timothé NkadaOn for Mouhamed Diop
86'
Dro FernándezOn for Senny Mayulu
86'
Lucas BeraldoOn for Fabián Ruiz
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 7 meetings since 2017
6PSG
1Draws
0Troyes
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes?
Paris Saint Germain won 1–0 against Troyes (Ligue 1, Sat 7 Nov, 20:05 UK time).
When was Paris Saint Germain vs Troyes played?
Ligue 1, kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 20:05 UK time.
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