RC Lens v MarseilleLigue 1 · Sun 8 Nov, 19:45
PlayedThese were our chances before kick-off. Our call: RC Lens, lost.
RC Lens vs Marseille prediction
Form
RC LensLast 5 games
- 30 OctALilleL 0–1
- 24 OctHParis FCW 2–1
- 17 OctATroyesW 3–1
- 9 OctHOlympique LyonnaisW 2–1
- 18 SeptAAS MonacoL 1–2
Marseille
No finished games in our results yet
Who will win RC Lens vs Marseille?
Ligue 1, Sun 8 Nov, 19:45 (UK time). Our AI research makes RC Lens the likeliest result at 39%.
Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects RC Lens to score 1.91 goals and Marseille 1.42. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | 2.86 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.35 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| RC Lens v Marseille | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 10.1% | 9.86 |
| 2–1 | 9.3% | 10.78 |
| 1–2 | 6.9% | 14.53 |
| 2–2 | 6.6% | 15.20 |
| 2–0 | 6.5% | 15.29 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| RC Lens or draw | 65% | 1.54 |
| Marseille or draw | 61% | 1.64 |
| RC Lens or Marseille (no draw) | 74% | 1.34 |
| RC Lens, draw no bet | 53% | 1.90 |
| Marseille, draw no bet | 47% | 2.11 |
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Form
RC LensLast 5 games
- 30 OctALilleL 0–1
- 24 OctHParis FCW 2–1
- 17 OctATroyesW 3–1
- 9 OctHOlympique LyonnaisW 2–1
- 18 SeptAAS MonacoL 1–2
Marseille
No finished games in our results yet
BAI8 assessment
Assess a match freeGet our call before the next one
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Common questions
Who will win RC Lens vs Marseille?
Our AI research makes RC Lens the likeliest result at 39%. In full: RC Lens 39%, the draw 26%, Marseille 35%. A chance is not a promise: even the likeliest result misses often.
Will both teams score in RC Lens vs Marseille?
Our model gives both teams to score a 65% chance and over 2.5 goals 65%, from 1.91 expected goals for RC Lens and 1.42 for Marseille.
What is the correct score prediction for RC Lens vs Marseille?
The likeliest single score on our model is RC Lens 1-1 Marseille, at 10.1%. No single score is likely: most matches end on a score outside the likeliest few.
What are the fair odds for RC Lens vs Marseille?
On our chances: RC Lens 2.55, the draw 3.90, Marseille 2.84, in decimal odds. A bookmaker paying more than these is offering value on our numbers.
When is RC Lens vs Marseille?
Ligue 1, kick-off Sun 8 Nov, 19:45 UK time.