Troyes v RC LensLigue 1 · Sat 17 Oct, 19:45
BAI8 called itThese were our chances before kick-off.
Troyes vs RC Lens: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser13'
Adrien MonfrayOwn goal
45'+2'
Odsonne ÉdouardFlorian Thauvin
Half time1–2
55'
Ruben AguilarFlorian Thauvin
76'
Michel DiazYellow card
76'
Renaud RipartYellow card
77'
Samson BaidooYellow card
82'
Amadou HaidaraYellow card
Full time1–3
Key stats
Who will win Troyes vs RC Lens?
Ligue 1, Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 (UK time). Full time: Troyes 1-3 RC Lens.
Full time: Troyes 1-3 RC Lens. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Troyes to score 0.84 goals and RC Lens 2.30. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.54 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.61 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Troyes v RC Lens | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0–2 | 11.5% | 8.72 |
| 0–1 | 9.7% | 10.29 |
| 1–2 | 9.6% | 10.40 |
| 0–3 | 8.8% | 11.38 |
| 1–1 | 8.6% | 11.59 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Troyes or draw | 55% | 1.82 |
| RC Lens or draw | 68% | 1.47 |
| Troyes or RC Lens (no draw) | 77% | 1.29 |
| Troyes, draw no bet | 42% | 2.40 |
| RC Lens, draw no bet | 58% | 1.71 |
League position
Troyes17of 18, 4 points from 6 games
RC Lens11of 18, 7 points from 6 games
In the table, Troyes are in position 17 of 18 with 4 points, and RC Lens in position 11 with 7.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Troyes vs RC Lens played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Troyes
Patrick BeachGMichel DiazCD-LAdrien MonfrayCD-RPaolo Gozzi IweruLBLucas MaronnierRBDermane KarimCMMouhamed DiopLMAntoine MilleRMRenaud RipartFTimothé NkadaLFMerwan IfnaouiRF
Substitutes
Substitutions
60'
Samson BaidooOn for Jean-Clair Todibo
60'
Kandet DiawaraOn for Timothé Nkada
64'
Noah DonkorOn for Paolo Gozzi Iweru
67'
Mezian SoaresOn for Florian Thauvin
67'
Franjo IvanovicOn for Odsonne Édouard
67'
Amadou HaidaraOn for Yassine Titraoui
72'
Saud AbdulhamidOn for Ruben Aguilar
79'
Jeremy Le DouaronOn for Mouhamed Diop
79'
Iron GomisOn for Lucas Maronnier
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 9 meetings since 2018
2Troyes
1Draws
6RC Lens
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Troyes vs RC Lens?
RC Lens won 3–1 away at Troyes (Ligue 1, Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Troyes vs RC Lens?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: RC Lens.
When was Troyes vs RC Lens played?
Ligue 1, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 19:45 UK time.
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