Montpellier v Pau FCLigue 2 · Fri 11 Sept, 20:00
Full time 1-0These were our chances before kick-off.
Montpellier vs Pau FC: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Montpellier vs Pau FC?
Ligue 2, Fri 11 Sept, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Montpellier 1-0 Pau FC.
Full time: Montpellier 1-0 Pau FC. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Montpellier to score 1.65 goals and Pau FC 1.03. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.89 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.54 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Montpellier v Pau FC | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.5% | 7.97 |
| 1–0 | 10.4% | 9.64 |
| 2–1 | 9.6% | 10.40 |
| 2–0 | 9.3% | 10.71 |
| 0–0 | 7.7% | 12.94 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Montpellier or draw | 77% | 1.29 |
| Pau FC or draw | 49% | 2.04 |
| Montpellier or Pau FC (no draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| Montpellier, draw no bet | 69% | 1.44 |
| Pau FC, draw no bet | 31% | 3.25 |
League position
Montpellier5of 18, 8 points from 5 games
Pau FC12of 18, 5 points from 5 games
In the table, Montpellier are in position 5 of 18 with 8 points, and Pau FC in position 12 with 5.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Montpellier vs Pau FC played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 3 meetings since 2025
1Montpellier
1Draws
1Pau FC
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Montpellier vs Pau FC?
Montpellier won 1–0 against Pau FC (Ligue 2, Fri 11 Sept, 20:00 UK time).
When was Montpellier vs Pau FC played?
Ligue 2, kick-off Fri 11 Sept, 20:00 UK time.
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