Arsenal v Leeds UnitedPremier League · Sat 10 Oct, 13:30
Full time 2-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Arsenal vs Leeds United: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser36'
Ao TanakaYellow card
38'
Ethan AmpaduYellow card
Half time0–0
55'
James Justin0–1 · Gabriel Gudmundsson
59'
Tarik MuharemovicYellow card
62'
Riccardo Calafiori1–1 · Ben White
70'
Bruno Guimarães2–1 · Declan Rice
78'
James JustinYellow card
84'
Martin ØdegaardYellow card
Full time2–1
Key stats
Who will win Arsenal vs Leeds United?
Premier League, Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 (UK time). Full time: Arsenal 2-1 Leeds United.
Full time: Arsenal 2-1 Leeds United. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Arsenal to score 1.86 goals and Leeds United 0.72. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | 2.25 |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | 1.80 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.86 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Arsenal v Leeds United | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 13.1% | 7.63 |
| 2–0 | 13.1% | 7.65 |
| 1–1 | 11.2% | 8.95 |
| 2–1 | 9.4% | 10.59 |
| 0–0 | 8.6% | 11.64 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal or draw | 87% | 1.15 |
| Leeds United or draw | 37% | 2.73 |
| Arsenal or Leeds United (no draw) | 76% | 1.31 |
| Arsenal, draw no bet | 83% | 1.20 |
| Leeds United, draw no bet | 17% | 5.92 |
League position
Arsenal2of 20, 12 points from 5 games
Leeds United5of 20, 9 points from 5 games
In the table, Arsenal are in position 2 of 20 with 12 points, and Leeds United in position 5 with 9.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Arsenal vs Leeds United played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Arsenal
David RayaGGabriel MagalhãesCD-LEzri KonsaCD-RRiccardo CalafioriLBBen WhiteRBMartin ØdegaardAMMyles Lewis-SkellyLMDeclan RiceRMKai HavertzFNoni MaduekeAM-LBukayo SakaAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
63'
Jurriën TimberOn for Ben White
63'
Viktor GyökeresOn for Kai Havertz
63'
Bruno GuimarãesOn for Myles Lewis-Skelly
71'
Harry WilsonOn for Ao Tanaka
71'
Brenden AaronsonOn for Noah Okafor
79'
Lukas NmechaOn for James Justin
82'
Piero HincapiéOn for Riccardo Calafiori
86'
Jean-Mattéo BahoyaOn for Jayden Bogle
86'
Jaka BijolOn for Nico Elvedi
90'
Mikel MerinoOn for Martin Ødegaard
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 9 meetings since 2020
8Arsenal
1Draws
0Leeds United
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Arsenal vs Leeds United?
Arsenal won 2–1 against Leeds United (Premier League, Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 UK time).
When was Arsenal vs Leeds United played?
Premier League, kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 UK time.
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