Aston Villa v ArsenalPremier League · Mon 31 Aug, 21:00
Full time 0-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Aston Villa vs Arsenal: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Aston Villa vs Arsenal?
Premier League, Mon 31 Aug, 21:00 (UK time). Full time: Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal.
Full time: Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Aston Villa to score 0.92 goals and Arsenal 1.74. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | 2.02 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.02 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.98 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.62 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Aston Villa v Arsenal | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.2% | 8.22 |
| 0–1 | 11.2% | 8.90 |
| 0–2 | 10.6% | 9.43 |
| 1–2 | 9.7% | 10.27 |
| 0–0 | 8.0% | 12.50 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa or draw | 44% | 2.26 |
| Arsenal or draw | 81% | 1.23 |
| Aston Villa or Arsenal (no draw) | 74% | 1.34 |
| Aston Villa, draw no bet | 25% | 3.98 |
| Arsenal, draw no bet | 75% | 1.34 |
League position
Aston Villa17of 20, 0 points from 1 games
Arsenal9of 20, 3 points from 1 games
In the table, Aston Villa are in position 17 of 20 with 0 points, and Arsenal in position 9 with 3.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Aston Villa vs Arsenal played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 15 meetings since 2019
6Aston Villa
1Draws
8Arsenal
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Aston Villa vs Arsenal?
Arsenal won 1–0 away at Aston Villa (Premier League, Mon 31 Aug, 21:00 UK time).
When was Aston Villa vs Arsenal played?
Premier League, kick-off Mon 31 Aug, 21:00 UK time.
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