Aston Villa v BrentfordPremier League · Sat 10 Oct, 15:00
Full time 2-2These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Brentford, lost.
Aston Villa vs Brentford: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser10'
12'
35'
Igor ThiagoYellow card
45'+3'
Emiliano BuendíaYellow card
Half time1–1
72'
Matty CashYellow card
75'
Vitaly JaneltYellow card
77'
John McGinn2–1 · Johan Manzambi
79'
Kristoffer Ajer2–2 · Jaidon Anthony
82'
Michael KayodeYellow card
84'
Kristoffer AjerYellow card
90'+5'
Callum WilsonYellow card
Full time2–2
Key stats
Who will win Aston Villa vs Brentford?
Premier League, Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 (UK time). Full time: Aston Villa 2-2 Brentford.
Full time: Aston Villa 2-2 Brentford. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Aston Villa to score 1.53 goals and Brentford 1.39. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | 2.50 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.27 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.98 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Aston Villa v Brentford | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.6% | 7.95 |
| 2–1 | 8.8% | 11.38 |
| 1–2 | 8.0% | 12.58 |
| 1–0 | 7.1% | 14.01 |
| 0–0 | 6.5% | 15.38 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa or draw | 63% | 1.60 |
| Brentford or draw | 65% | 1.53 |
| Aston Villa or Brentford (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Aston Villa, draw no bet | 48% | 2.09 |
| Brentford, draw no bet | 52% | 1.92 |
League position
Aston Villa16of 20, 4 points from 5 games
Brentford4of 20, 9 points from 5 games
In the table, Aston Villa are in position 16 of 20 with 4 points, and Brentford in position 4 with 9.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Aston Villa vs Brentford played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Aston Villa
Zion SuzukiGTyrone MingsCD-LVictor LindelöfCD-RMatteo RuggeriLBMatty CashRBEmiliano BuendíaAMJoão GomesLMBoubacar KamaraRMNicolas JacksonFJohan ManzambiAM-LJohn McGinnAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Aaron Wan-BissakaOn for Matteo Ruggeri
45'
Aaron HickeyOn for Jannik Schuster
52'
Mamadou SangareOn for Kevin Schade
64'
Ibrahim MbayeOn for Emiliano Buendía
67'
Dango OuattaraOn for Keane Lewis-Potter
67'
Mathias JensenOn for Yehor Yarmoliuk
85'
Callum WilsonOn for Jaidon Anthony
86'
Ross BarkleyOn for João Gomes
86'
AlyssonOn for Johan Manzambi
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 15 meetings since 2017
4Aston Villa
6Draws
5Brentford
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Aston Villa vs Brentford?
Nobody: Aston Villa and Brentford drew 2–2 (Premier League, Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 UK time).
When was Aston Villa vs Brentford played?
Premier League, kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 UK time.
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