Chelsea v AFC BournemouthPremier League · Sat 10 Oct, 16:00
Full time 5-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth: result and prediction
Premier LeagueSaturday 10 Oct 2026Chelsea
- Henderson 2'
- Rogers 3'
- Pedro 46'
- Pedro 67'
- Henderson 70'
5–1
Full timeHalf time 2–0AFC Bournemouth
- Evanilson 51'
Venue Stamford BridgeReferee S BarrottAttendance 39,676
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser2'
Jordan Henderson1–0 · Cole Palmer
3'
Morgan Rogers2–0 · Jordan Henderson
10'
Marcus TavernierYellow card
42'
Adrien TruffertYellow card
Half time2–0
46'
João Pedro3–0 · Pedro Neto
51'
Evanilson3–1
62'
Tyler AdamsYellow card
67'
João Pedro4–1 · Pep Chavarría
69'
Ryan ChristieYellow card
70'
Full time5–1
Key stats
Who will win Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Premier League, Sat 10 Oct, 16:00 (UK time). Full time: Chelsea 5-1 AFC Bournemouth.
Full time: Chelsea 5-1 AFC Bournemouth. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Chelsea to score 1.55 goals and AFC Bournemouth 1.55. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | 2.72 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Chelsea v AFC Bournemouth | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.9% | 8.42 |
| 1–2 | 8.4% | 11.92 |
| 2–1 | 8.4% | 11.93 |
| 2–2 | 6.5% | 15.36 |
| 0–1 | 5.9% | 16.92 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea or draw | 63% | 1.59 |
| AFC Bournemouth or draw | 63% | 1.59 |
| Chelsea or AFC Bournemouth (no draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| Chelsea, draw no bet | 50% | 2.00 |
| AFC Bournemouth, draw no bet | 50% | 2.00 |
League position
Chelsea10of 20, 7 points from 5 games
AFC Bournemouth17of 20, 3 points from 5 games
In the table, Chelsea are in position 10 of 20 with 7 points, and AFC Bournemouth in position 17 with 3.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Chelsea
Emiliano MartínezGMaxence LacroixCDLevi ColwillCD-LJosh AcheampongCD-RMoisés CaicedoCM-LJordan HendersonCM-RPep ChavarríaLMPedro NetoRMJoão PedroFMorgan RogersCF-LCole PalmerCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Ben Gannon-DoakOn for David Brooks
72'
Romeo LaviaOn for Moisés Caicedo
72'
Marco PalestraOn for João Pedro
72'
Juanlu SanchezOn for Adam Smith
72'
Álvaro RodríguezOn for Marcus Tavernier
73'
Lewis CookOn for Ryan Christie
83'
Danny WelbeckOn for Pedro Neto
84'
EstêvãoOn for Morgan Rogers
84'
Julio SolerOn for Adrien Truffert
88'
Malo GustoOn for Cole Palmer
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 15 meetings since 2017
7Chelsea
5Draws
3Bournemouth
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Chelsea won 5–1 against AFC Bournemouth (Premier League, Sat 10 Oct, 16:00 UK time).
When was Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth played?
Premier League, kick-off Sat 10 Oct, 16:00 UK time.
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