Coventry City v Newcastle UnitedPremier League · Mon 12 Oct, 20:00
Full time 4-1These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Newcastle United, lost.
Coventry City vs Newcastle United: result and prediction
Premier LeagueMonday 12 Oct 2026Coventry City
- Rudoni 6' (pen)
- Cherif 48'
- Simms 81'
- Mfuni 86'
4–1
Full timeHalf time 1–0Newcastle United
- Botman 70'
Venue Coventry Building Society ArenaReferee J BrooksAttendance 30,811
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser6'
Jack RudoniPenalty
Half time1–0
66'
Milan van EwijkYellow card
70'
Sven BotmanNico González
81'
Ellis SimmsBrandon Thomas-Asante
81'
JoelintonYellow card
86'
Stephen MfuniJay Da Silva
Full time4–1
Key stats
Who will win Coventry City vs Newcastle United?
Premier League, Mon 12 Oct, 20:00 (UK time). Full time: Coventry City 4-1 Newcastle United.
Full time: Coventry City 4-1 Newcastle United. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Coventry City to score 1.14 goals and Newcastle United 1.64. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.28 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Coventry City v Newcastle United | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.8% | 7.82 |
| 1–2 | 9.5% | 10.50 |
| 0–1 | 8.9% | 11.21 |
| 0–2 | 8.3% | 12.00 |
| 0–0 | 7.4% | 13.55 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry City or draw | 61% | 1.64 |
| Newcastle United or draw | 67% | 1.49 |
| Coventry City or Newcastle United (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Coventry City, draw no bet | 46% | 2.18 |
| Newcastle United, draw no bet | 54% | 1.85 |
League position
Coventry City19of 20, 3 points from 5 games
Newcastle United11of 20, 8 points from 5 games
In the table, Coventry City are in position 19 of 20 with 3 points, and Newcastle United in position 11 with 8.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Coventry City vs Newcastle United played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Substitutions
59'
Amar DedicOn for Lewis Miley
59'
Bazoumana TouréOn for Jacob Murphy
59'
JoelintonOn for Joe Willock
61'
Tatsuhiro SakamotoOn for Ephron Mason-Clark
78'
Frank OnyekaOn for Caleb Yirenkyi
78'
Ellis SimmsOn for Sidiki Cherif
78'
William OsulaOn for Yoane Wissa
83'
Victor TorpOn for Jack Rudoni
83'
Stephen MfuniOn for Matt Grimes
90'
Dan BurnOn for Bazoumana Touré
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 1 meeting since 2026
1Coventry City
0Draws
0Newcastle
Last meetings
Coventry CityNewcastle United4112 Oct2026Full timeAssessed
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Common questions
Who won Coventry City vs Newcastle United?
Coventry City won 4–1 against Newcastle United (Premier League, Mon 12 Oct, 20:00 UK time).
When was Coventry City vs Newcastle United played?
Premier League, kick-off Mon 12 Oct, 20:00 UK time.
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