These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Everton, lost.
Everton vs Chelsea: result and prediction
What happened
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Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
Premier League, Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 (UK time). Full time: Everton 0-2 Chelsea.
Full time: Everton 0-2 Chelsea. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Everton to score 1.51 goals and Chelsea 1.42. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | 1.66 |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | 2.52 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.96 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Everton v Chelsea | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.6% | 7.91 |
| 2–1 | 8.7% | 11.56 |
| 1–2 | 8.1% | 12.30 |
| 1–0 | 6.9% | 14.60 |
| 0–0 | 6.5% | 15.34 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Everton or draw | 67% | 1.49 |
| Chelsea or draw | 59% | 1.70 |
| Everton or Chelsea (no draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| Everton, draw no bet | 56% | 1.80 |
| Chelsea, draw no bet | 44% | 2.25 |
League position
In the table, Everton are in position 5 of 20 with 10 points, and Chelsea in position 6 with 10.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet. Read our written preview: Everton v Chelsea prediction and odds.
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How Everton vs Chelsea played out
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Common questions
Who won Everton vs Chelsea?
Chelsea won 2–0 away at Everton (Premier League, Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 UK time).
When was Everton vs Chelsea played?
Premier League, kick-off Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 UK time.