Leeds United v Manchester UnitedPremier League · Sun 18 Oct, 14:00
Full time 1-1These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Leeds United, lost.
Leeds United vs Manchester United: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser17'
Bruno FernandesYellow card
19'
Gabriel GudmundssonYellow card
35'
Bryan Mbeumo0–1 · Youri Tielemans
Half time0–1
51'
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1–1 · Tarik Muharemovic
90'+2'
Ethan AmpaduYellow card
90'+2'
Andrey SantosYellow card
Full time1–1
Key stats
Who will win Leeds United vs Manchester United?
Premier League, Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 (UK time). Full time: Leeds United 1-1 Manchester United.
Full time: Leeds United 1-1 Manchester United. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Leeds United to score 1.29 goals and Manchester United 1.59. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.44 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.06 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Leeds United v Manchester United | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.7% | 7.87 |
| 1–2 | 9.2% | 10.92 |
| 0–1 | 7.7% | 12.97 |
| 2–1 | 7.4% | 13.48 |
| 0–2 | 7.1% | 14.08 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds United or draw | 65% | 1.53 |
| Manchester United or draw | 61% | 1.64 |
| Leeds United or Manchester United (no draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| Leeds United, draw no bet | 53% | 1.89 |
| Manchester United, draw no bet | 47% | 2.12 |
League position
Leeds United8of 20, 9 points from 6 games
Manchester United14of 20, 6 points from 6 games
In the table, Leeds United are in position 8 of 20 with 9 points, and Manchester United in position 14 with 6.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Leeds United vs Manchester United played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Leeds United
James TraffordGNico ElvediCDTarik MuharemovicCD-LJames JustinCD-RAo TanakaCM-LEthan AmpaduCM-RGabriel GudmundssonLMJayden BogleRMDominic Calvert-LewinFNoah OkaforCF-LAnton StachCF-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Noussair MazraouiOn for Lisandro Martínez
74'
Lukas NmechaOn for Noah Okafor
74'
Mason MountOn for Carlos Baleba
81'
Sean LongstaffOn for Ao Tanaka
84'
Matheus CunhaOn for Youri Tielemans
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 9 meetings since 2020
1Leeds United
4Draws
4Man United
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
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Common questions
Who won Leeds United vs Manchester United?
Nobody: Leeds United and Manchester United drew 1–1 (Premier League, Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 UK time).
When was Leeds United vs Manchester United played?
Premier League, kick-off Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 UK time.
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