Leeds United v Newcastle UnitedPremier League · Mon 14 Sept, 21:00
Full time 4-1These were our chances before kick-off.
Leeds United vs Newcastle United: result and prediction
Key stats
Who will win Leeds United vs Newcastle United?
Premier League, Mon 14 Sept, 21:00 (UK time). Full time: Leeds United 4-1 Newcastle United.
Full time: Leeds United 4-1 Newcastle United. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Leeds United to score 1.48 goals and Newcastle United 1.35. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.42 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.18 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Leeds United v Newcastle United | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.2% | 7.56 |
| 2–1 | 8.7% | 11.49 |
| 1–2 | 8.0% | 12.53 |
| 0–0 | 7.3% | 13.64 |
| 1–0 | 7.3% | 13.74 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds United or draw | 67% | 1.50 |
| Newcastle United or draw | 61% | 1.63 |
| Leeds United or Newcastle United (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Leeds United, draw no bet | 54% | 1.86 |
| Newcastle United, draw no bet | 46% | 2.17 |
League position
Leeds United11of 20, 5 points from 3 games
Newcastle United10of 20, 5 points from 3 games
In the table, Leeds United are in position 11 of 20 with 5 points, and Newcastle United in position 10 with 5.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Leeds United vs Newcastle United played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserForm
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 9 meetings since 2020
3Leeds United
4Draws
2Newcastle
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Chelsea vs Leeds United
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
Free plan: 5 assessments a month. No card.
Common questions
Who won Leeds United vs Newcastle United?
Leeds United won 4–1 against Newcastle United (Premier League, Mon 14 Sept, 21:00 UK time).
When was Leeds United vs Newcastle United played?
Premier League, kick-off Mon 14 Sept, 21:00 UK time.
More matches
Premier League15:00ChelseaLeeds United11.80X3.7524.10
Premier League17:30Newcastle UnitedArsenal15.28X4.1021.57
Women's Champions League17:45Leuven WomenHB Køge Women14.75X3.8921.57England EFL Trophy19:00BarnsleyOldham Athletic11.68X4.3323.60England EFL Trophy19:00Sheffield WednesdayAccrington Stanley11.56X4.2524.75
Women's Champions League20:00Juventus WomenOlympique Lyonnais Women116.00X9.0021.09
Brasileirão Série B22:00LondrinaNautico PE11.73X3.6524.25
UEFA Nations League17:00ArmeniaCyprus12.26X3.2523.10
