These were our chances before kick-off.
Liverpool vs Arsenal: result and prediction
What happened
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Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Premier League, Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 (UK time). Full time: Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal.
Full time: Liverpool 0-1 Arsenal. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Liverpool to score 1.10 goals and Arsenal 1.38. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.19 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Liverpool v Arsenal | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 13.9% | 7.18 |
| 0–1 | 10.3% | 9.71 |
| 0–0 | 9.6% | 10.46 |
| 1–2 | 8.8% | 11.42 |
| 1–0 | 8.0% | 12.48 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool or draw | 57% | 1.74 |
| Arsenal or draw | 71% | 1.41 |
| Liverpool or Arsenal (no draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| Liverpool, draw no bet | 41% | 2.46 |
| Arsenal, draw no bet | 59% | 1.68 |
League position
In the table, Liverpool are in position 5 of 20 with 15 points, and Arsenal in position 2 with 21.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
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How Liverpool vs Arsenal played out
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Substitutions
Form
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Next up: Newcastle United vs Arsenal
Sat 21 Nov, 17:30. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
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Common questions
Who won Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Arsenal won 1–0 away at Liverpool (Premier League, Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 UK time).
Did BAI8 call Liverpool vs Arsenal?
Yes. BAI8 published a call on this match before the start, and it won: Arsenal.
When was Liverpool vs Arsenal played?
Premier League, kick-off Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 UK time.