Liverpool v Manchester CityPremier League · Sun 11 Oct, 17:30
Full time 0-3These were our chances before kick-off.
Liverpool vs Manchester City: result and prediction
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser8'
Ronald AraujoYellow card
Half time0–0
47'
Ryan GravenberchYellow card
58'
Nico O'ReillyYellow card
62'
Ryan GravenberchRed card
65'
68'
Jérémy Doku0–2 · Elliot Anderson
78'
Rayan Cherki0–3 · Josko Gvardiol
86'
Ayyoub BouaddiYellow card
90'+1'
Virgil van DijkYellow card
Full time0–3
Key stats
Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Premier League, Sun 11 Oct, 17:30 (UK time). Full time: Liverpool 0-3 Manchester City.
Full time: Liverpool 0-3 Manchester City. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. These chances come from our football model, fitted on four seasons of results in this league and the divisions around it. The full AI research (team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market) runs in the app.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Liverpool to score 1.34 goals and Manchester City 1.66. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | 2.56 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.84 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Liverpool v Manchester City | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 12.2% | 8.22 |
| 1–2 | 9.2% | 10.89 |
| 2–1 | 7.4% | 13.46 |
| 0–1 | 7.2% | 13.95 |
| 0–2 | 6.8% | 14.62 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool or draw | 56% | 1.78 |
| Manchester City or draw | 70% | 1.43 |
| Liverpool or Manchester City (no draw) | 74% | 1.35 |
| Liverpool, draw no bet | 41% | 2.46 |
| Manchester City, draw no bet | 59% | 1.68 |
League position
Liverpool8of 20, 9 points from 5 games
Manchester City1of 20, 15 points from 5 games
In the table, Liverpool are in position 8 of 20 with 9 points, and Manchester City in position 1 with 15.
What the full research adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The model reads results. In the app, our AI researches this match the way a professional would, thirteen passes over team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, then compares the chance with the best price across more than seventy bookmakers and says where the value is.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
How Liverpool vs Manchester City played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Liverpool
Alisson BeckerGVirgil van DijkCD-LJérémy JacquetCD-RMilos KerkezLBRonald AraujoRBFlorian WirtzAMAlexis Mac AllisterLMRyan GravenberchRMLewis KoumasFBradley BarcolaAM-LVíctor MuñozAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
56'
Jérémy DokuOn for Iliman Ndiaye
66'
Trey NyoniOn for Florian Wirtz
66'
Josko GvardiolOn for Nico O'Reilly
75'
Jeremie FrimpongOn for Ronald Araujo
75'
Rio NgumohaOn for Lewis Koumas
80'
Allan EliasOn for Erling Haaland
80'
Ayyoub BouaddiOn for Enzo Fernández
88'
Joe GomezOn for Jérémy Jacquet
88'
Federico ChiesaOn for Bradley Barcola
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 19 meetings since 2017
5Liverpool
6Draws
8Man City
Last meetings
BAI8 assessment
Unlock it freeNext up: Manchester City vs Fulham
Sat 21 Nov, 12:30. Get our call before the start: who to back, the price worth taking and why.
Free plan: 5 assessments a month. No card.
Common questions
Who won Liverpool vs Manchester City?
Manchester City won 3–0 away at Liverpool (Premier League, Sun 11 Oct, 17:30 UK time).
When was Liverpool vs Manchester City played?
Premier League, kick-off Sun 11 Oct, 17:30 UK time.
More matches
Premier League12:30Manchester CityFulham11.43X4.8026.00Premier League16:30LiverpoolManchester United11.80X3.9023.98Premier LeagueFull timeCrystal Palace3Nottingham Forest1Premier LeagueFull timeHull City2Everton2
Women's Champions League17:45Leuven WomenHB Køge Women14.75X3.8921.57England EFL Trophy19:00BarnsleyOldham Athletic11.68X4.3323.60England EFL Trophy19:00Sheffield WednesdayAccrington Stanley11.56X4.2524.75
Women's Champions League20:00Juventus WomenOlympique Lyonnais Women116.00X9.0021.09
