These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Manchester City, lost.
Manchester City vs Brighton and Hove Albion: result and prediction
What happened
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Who will win Manchester City vs Brighton and Hove Albion?
Premier League, Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 (UK time). Full time: Manchester City 0-1 Brighton and Hove Albion.
Full time: Manchester City 0-1 Brighton and Hove Albion. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Manchester City to score 1.80 goals and Brighton and Hove Albion 1.22. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | 2.49 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.81 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Manchester City v Brighton and Hove Albion | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.8% | 8.51 |
| 2–1 | 9.6% | 10.37 |
| 2–0 | 7.9% | 12.66 |
| 1–0 | 7.8% | 12.85 |
| 1–2 | 6.6% | 15.27 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City or draw | 76% | 1.32 |
| Brighton and Hove Albion or draw | 47% | 2.12 |
| Manchester City or Brighton and Hove Albion (no draw) | 77% | 1.30 |
| Manchester City, draw no bet | 69% | 1.45 |
| Brighton and Hove Albion, draw no bet | 31% | 3.20 |
League position
In the table, Manchester City are in position 1 of 20 with 21 points, and Brighton and Hove Albion in position 3 with 16.
What our call adds
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
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How Manchester City vs Brighton and Hove Albion played out
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Common questions
Who won Manchester City vs Brighton and Hove Albion?
Brighton and Hove Albion won 1–0 away at Manchester City (Premier League, Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time).
When was Manchester City vs Brighton and Hove Albion played?
Premier League, kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 UK time.