Manchester United v Aston VillaPremier League · Sun 8 Nov, 16:30
Full time 4-4These were our chances before kick-off. Our call: Manchester United, lost.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa: result and prediction
Premier LeagueSunday 8 Nov 2026, 16:30 UK timeManchester United
- Fernandes 16' (pen)
- Tielemans 44'
- Zirkzee 90'+2'
- Dorgu 90'+6'
4–4
Full timeHalf time 2–2Aston Villa
- Alysson 1'
- Jackson 4'
- McGinn 48' (pen)
- Goretzka 53'
Venue Old TraffordReferee C KavanaghAttendance 74,149
Odds at kick-off
Man United2.08Best at Unibet (NL)
Draw4.20Won
Aston Villa3.55Best at BetOnline.ag
What the bookmakers expected
BAI8 assessedRead the assessment
Our research published this before kick-off: the chance we gave each result.
What happened
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiser1'
AlyssonJohn McGinn
16'
Bruno FernandesPenalty
44'
Youri TielemansNoussair Mazraoui
Half time2–2
48'
John McGinnPenalty
53'
Leon GoretzkaNicolas Jackson
57'
Ayden HeavenYellow card
90'+2'
Joshua ZirkzeePatrick Dorgu
90'+6'
Patrick DorguBruno Fernandes
90'+7'
Zion SuzukiYellow card
Full time4–4
Key stats
Who will win Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Premier League, Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 (UK time). Full time: Manchester United 4-4 Aston Villa.
Full time: Manchester United 4-4 Aston Villa. The chances on this page are the ones we had before kick-off. Our numbers come from a fitted football model and a thirteen-pass research run on this fixture: team news, injuries, form, schedule and the market, each source graded before it can move the chance.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
Our model expects Manchester United to score 1.91 goals and Aston Villa 1.23. Every goals market below is summed from the same score grid, so they always agree with each other.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | 2.57 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.54 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.61 |
Correct score prediction
The five likeliest scores on our model. Even the likeliest single score lands only about one match in ten: that is why correct score odds are long.
| Manchester United v Aston Villa | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1–1 | 11.0% | 9.12 |
| 2–1 | 9.7% | 10.30 |
| 2–0 | 7.9% | 12.67 |
| 1–0 | 7.5% | 13.33 |
| 1–2 | 6.3% | 15.95 |
Double chance and draw no bet
What the same chances say about the other common markets, with the fair odds for each. A bookmaker offering more than the fair odds is offering value on our numbers.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United or draw | 67% | 1.50 |
| Aston Villa or draw | 60% | 1.68 |
| Manchester United or Aston Villa (no draw) | 74% | 1.36 |
| Manchester United, draw no bet | 55% | 1.83 |
| Aston Villa, draw no bet | 45% | 2.21 |
League position
Manchester United19of 20, 7 points from 9 games
Aston Villa12of 20, 12 points from 9 games
In the table, Manchester United are in position 19 of 20 with 7 points, and Aston Villa in position 12 with 12.
What our call adds
Win, draw and loss chances
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals
The five likeliest scores
The side we back, at the best price across 70+ bookmakers
The edge in points, and every source the research read
The chances above are free. In the app, the call on this match says which side we back, the best price we found across more than seventy bookmakers, the edge against that price in points, and every source the research read, so you can check it before you bet.
18+. Bet only what you can afford to lose.
Odds at kick-off
Man United2.08Best at Unibet (NL)
Draw4.20Best at Betfair
Aston Villa3.55Best at BetOnline.ag
BookmakerMan UnitedDrawAston Villa
MatchbookExchange2.064.203.55
BetfairExchange2.064.203.50
BetfairExchange2.064.203.50
BetfairExchange2.064.203.50
BetOnline.ag1.984.053.55
LowVig.ag1.984.053.55
SmarketsExchange2.044.203.45
theScore Bet2.004.203.20
The last prices each bookmaker quoted before the start. BAI8 is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.
How Manchester United vs Aston Villa played out
officialpublished by the governing body or event organiserLine-ups
Manchester United
Senne LammensGHarry MaguireCD-LLeny YoroCD-RDiogo DalotLBNoussair MazraouiRBBruno FernandesAMKobbie MainooLMYouri TielemansRMBryan MbeumoFMatheus CunhaAM-LAmad DialloAM-R
Substitutes
Substitutions
45'
Ayden HeavenOn for Harry Maguire
66'
Mason MountOn for Youri Tielemans
66'
Patrick DorguOn for Diogo Dalot
66'
Shea LaceyOn for Amad Diallo
71'
George HemmingsOn for John McGinn
71'
Ross BarkleyOn for Alysson
78'
João GomesOn for Johan Manzambi
78'
Ibrahim MbayeOn for Leon Goretzka
83'
Joshua ZirkzeeOn for Bryan Mbeumo
86'
Brian MadjoOn for Nicolas Jackson
Form
Head to head
Every meetingWins in 15 meetings since 2019
8Man United
4Draws
3Aston Villa
Last meetings
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Common questions
Who won Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Nobody: Manchester United and Aston Villa drew 4–4 (Premier League, Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 UK time).
When was Manchester United vs Aston Villa played?
Premier League, kick-off Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 UK time.
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